{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2016157614","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2011.07.013","title":"How many singularities are near and how will they disrupt human history?","display_name":"How many singularities are near and how will they disrupt human history?","publication_year":2011,"publication_date":"2011-08-28","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2016157614","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2011.07.013","mag":"2016157614"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2011.07.013","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2011.07.013","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2011.07.013","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S39307421","display_name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","issn_l":"0040-1625","issn":["0040-1625","1873-5509"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","fnege-2","jufo-3","ki-jl-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5057118841","display_name":"Christopher L. Magee","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5316-8358","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5316-8358"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I63966007","display_name":"Massachusetts Institute of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/042nb2s44","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I63966007"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Christopher L. Magee","raw_affiliation_strings":["Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 77 Massachusetts Avenue, Building E38-450, Cambridge, MA 02139-4307, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 77 Massachusetts Avenue, Building E38-450, Cambridge, MA 02139-4307, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I63966007"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5005257928","display_name":"Tessaleno Devezas","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7993-4919","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7993-4919"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I161321875","display_name":"University of Beira Interior","ror":"https://ror.org/03nf36p02","country_code":"PT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I161321875"]}],"countries":["PT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Tessaleno C. Devezas","raw_affiliation_strings":["Faculty of Engineering, University of Beira Interior, 6200-001 Covilh\u00e3, Portugal","Faculty of Engineering, University of Beira Interior, 6200-001 Covilha\u0303, Portugal"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Faculty of Engineering, University of Beira Interior, 6200-001 Covilh\u00e3, Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I161321875"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Faculty of Engineering, University of Beira Interior, 6200-001 Covilha\u0303, Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I161321875"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5057118841"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I63966007"],"apc_list":{"value":3490,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3490},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":5.1189,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":36,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.95771262,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"78","issue":"8","first_page":"1365","last_page":"1378"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13498","display_name":"Economic Development and Digital Transformation","score":0.5957000255584717,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13498","display_name":"Economic Development and Digital Transformation","score":0.5957000255584717,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12659","display_name":"Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting","score":0.3093000054359436,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14389","display_name":"Innovation, Technology, and Society","score":0.026900000870227814,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/technological-singularity","display_name":"technological singularity","score":0.9700000286102295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/social-change","display_name":"social change","score":0.6769999861717224},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/technological-change","display_name":"technological change","score":0.7789999842643738},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/technology-diffusion","display_name":"technology diffusion","score":0.6100000143051147},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/logistic-growth-curve","display_name":"logistic curve","score":0.9259999990463257},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/technological-capabilities","display_name":"technological capabilities","score":0.6299999952316284},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/globalization","display_name":"globalization","score":0.5059999823570251},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computing-power","display_name":"computational power","score":0.6159999966621399},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/societal-impact-of-technology","display_name":"societal impact of technology","score":0.75},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/history-of-technology","display_name":"history of technology","score":0.574999988079071},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/future-technology","display_name":"future of technology","score":0.34599998593330383}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12843","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q201721","display_name":"Gravitational singularity","level":2,"score":0.6581308841705322},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.3894939422607422},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.18991294503211975},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134306372","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7754","display_name":"Mathematical analysis","level":1,"score":0.08689811825752258}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2011.07.013","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2011.07.013","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2011.07.013","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S39307421","display_name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","issn_l":"0040-1625","issn":["0040-1625","1873-5509"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","fnege-2","jufo-3","ki-jl-2","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306101","display_name":"National Aeronautics and Space Administration","ror":"https://ror.org/027ka1x80"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320324110","display_name":"Singapore University of Technology and Design","ror":"https://ror.org/05j6fvn87"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":44,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W16184363","https://openalex.org/W113035043","https://openalex.org/W201230484","https://openalex.org/W357604427","https://openalex.org/W562071303","https://openalex.org/W1139982451","https://openalex.org/W1507382694","https://openalex.org/W1514533495","https://openalex.org/W1518595413","https://openalex.org/W1519217750","https://openalex.org/W1538472072","https://openalex.org/W1587493691","https://openalex.org/W1587893282","https://openalex.org/W1809411394","https://openalex.org/W1980684223","https://openalex.org/W1985683154","https://openalex.org/W1994502473","https://openalex.org/W2003270794","https://openalex.org/W2024826369","https://openalex.org/W2032590667","https://openalex.org/W2034646502","https://openalex.org/W2041252614","https://openalex.org/W2052257329","https://openalex.org/W2053385053","https://openalex.org/W2055587478","https://openalex.org/W2060574653","https://openalex.org/W2076593820","https://openalex.org/W2078206416","https://openalex.org/W2094955250","https://openalex.org/W2107943527","https://openalex.org/W2120220258","https://openalex.org/W2122688533","https://openalex.org/W2143041522","https://openalex.org/W2169558102","https://openalex.org/W2181375269","https://openalex.org/W2475730289","https://openalex.org/W2798569710","https://openalex.org/W2899992637","https://openalex.org/W2936027763","https://openalex.org/W2964631455","https://openalex.org/W3041155923","https://openalex.org/W3172851577","https://openalex.org/W4236903877","https://openalex.org/W4301931236"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2947453188","https://openalex.org/W7096300427","https://openalex.org/W4239310266","https://openalex.org/W2998159299","https://openalex.org/W7061992076","https://openalex.org/W7118209241","https://openalex.org/W4415984447","https://openalex.org/W4244124343","https://openalex.org/W2173912455","https://openalex.org/W1638994743"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-10-16T09:59:22.235173","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
