{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2012645838","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1477-9552.2008.00157.x","title":"Ex Ante Impact Assessment under Imperfect Information: Biotechnology in New Member States of the EU","display_name":"Ex Ante Impact Assessment under Imperfect Information: Biotechnology in New Member States of the EU","publication_year":2008,"publication_date":"2008-04-07","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2012645838","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1477-9552.2008.00157.x","mag":"2012645838"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1111/j.1477-9552.2008.00157.x","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1477-9552.2008.00157.x","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1477-9552.2008.00157.x","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S14468722","display_name":"Journal of Agricultural Economics","issn_l":"0021-857X","issn":["0021-857X","1477-9552"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Agricultural Economics","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5053402589","display_name":"Matty Demont","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9086-5654","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9086-5654"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Matty Demont","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5008610093","display_name":"Marie Cerovska","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Marie Cerovska","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5005190810","display_name":"Wim Daems","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Wim Daems","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5079708527","display_name":"Koen Dillen","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Koen Dillen","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5048579799","display_name":"J\u00f3zsef Fogarasi","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7989-8375","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7989-8375"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"J\u00f3zsef Fogarasi","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5064568541","display_name":"Erik Mathijs","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3740-7280","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3740-7280"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Erik Mathijs","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5064617151","display_name":"F. Mu\u0161ka","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Franti\u0161ek Mu\u0161ka","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5009623216","display_name":"Josef Soukup","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2890-2359","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2890-2359","https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7015-9573"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Josef Soukup","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5016711773","display_name":"Eric F. Tollens","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I90060838","display_name":"Africa Rice Center","ror":"https://ror.org/040y9br29","country_code":"CI","type":"nonprofit","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1286583668","https://openalex.org/I90060838"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I99464096","display_name":"KU Leuven","ror":"https://ror.org/05f950310","country_code":"BE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I99464096"]}],"countries":["BE","CI"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Eric Tollens","raw_affiliation_strings":["Matty Demont is with the Africa Rice Center (WARDA), B.P. 96, Saint-Louis, Senegal. E-mail: [email protected] for correspondence. Co-authors have been listed alphabetically. Wim Daems, Koen Dillen, Erik Mathijs and Eric Tollens are with the Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Marie Cerovska and Josef Soukup are with the Czech University of Agriculture (Prague), Jo\u0301zsef Fogarasi is with the Agricultural Economics Research Institute (Budapest), and Frantis\u030cek Mus\u030cka is with the State Phytosanitary Administration (Brno). Parts of this joint study were presented at the 9th and 10th International Conferences on Agricultural Biotechnology, Ravello, Italy, in 2005 and 2006. We are grateful for the valuable comments and data contributions from J. Kiss (Go\u0308do\u0308llo\u0303 University), M. Trnka (Mendel University, Brno), K. Riha and M. Povolny\u0301 (Central Institute for Supervising and Testing in Agriculture, Brno), O. Vahala (State Phytosanitary Administration), J. Hanibal and Z. Kubi\u0301kova\u0301 (Research Institute for Agricultural Economics, Prague), M. Czepo (Monsanto HU, Budapest), M. Singer (Monsanto CZ, Prague), and J. Hitzger (Pioneer CZ, Br\u030ceclav). We would like to thank the editor and two anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments that greatly improved this manuscript. The authors assume full responsibility for any remaining shortcomings"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Matty Demont is with the Africa Rice Center (WARDA), B.P. 96, Saint-Louis, Senegal. E-mail: [email protected] for correspondence. Co-authors have been listed alphabetically. Wim Daems, Koen Dillen, Erik Mathijs and Eric Tollens are with the Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Marie Cerovska and Josef Soukup are with the Czech University of Agriculture (Prague), Jo\u0301zsef Fogarasi is with the Agricultural Economics Research Institute (Budapest), and Frantis\u030cek Mus\u030cka is with the State Phytosanitary Administration (Brno). Parts of this joint study were presented at the 9th and 10th International Conferences on Agricultural Biotechnology, Ravello, Italy, in 2005 and 2006. We are grateful for the valuable comments and data contributions from J. Kiss (Go\u0308do\u0308llo\u0303 University), M. Trnka (Mendel University, Brno), K. Riha and M. Povolny\u0301 (Central Institute for Supervising and Testing in Agriculture, Brno), O. Vahala (State Phytosanitary Administration), J. Hanibal and Z. Kubi\u0301kova\u0301 (Research Institute for Agricultural Economics, Prague), M. Czepo (Monsanto HU, Budapest), M. Singer (Monsanto CZ, Prague), and J. Hitzger (Pioneer CZ, Br\u030ceclav). We would like to thank the editor and two anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments that greatly improved this manuscript. The authors assume full responsibility for any remaining shortcomings","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I90060838","https://openalex.org/I99464096"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5016711773"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I90060838","https://openalex.org/I99464096"],"apc_list":{"value":4150,"currency":"USD","value_usd":4150},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":7.384,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":44,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.96798989,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"59","issue":"3","first_page":"463","last_page":"486"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11426","display_name":"Genetically Modified Organisms Research","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1110","display_name":"Plant Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11426","display_name":"Genetically Modified Organisms Research","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1110","display_name":"Plant Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11805","display_name":"Agricultural economics and policies","score":0.00019999999494757503,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12033","display_name":"Agricultural Economics and Policy","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1100","display_name":"General Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/genetically-modified-crops","display_name":"genetically modified crops","score":0.9819999933242798},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ex-ante-impact-assessment","display_name":"ex-ante impact assessment","score":0.9670000076293945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/imperfect-information","display_name":"imperfect information","score":0.8539999723434448},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/farmer-heterogeneity","display_name":"farmer heterogeneity","score":0.9039999842643738},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/benefit-sharing","display_name":"benefit sharing","score":0.7549999952316284},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/eu-enlargement","display_name":"EU enlargement","score":0.5320000052452087},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/new-member-states","display_name":"new member states","score":0.8659999966621399},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/seed-industry","display_name":"seed industry","score":0.546999990940094},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/former-communist-countries","display_name":"former socialist countries","score":0.625}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C122251271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q940039","display_name":"Ex-ante","level":2,"score":0.5819858312606812},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780367213","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q19595794","display_name":"Agricultural biotechnology","level":3,"score":0.5588245391845703},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118518473","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11451","display_name":"Agriculture","level":2,"score":0.5514243841171265},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111874474","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6005872","display_name":"Impact assessment","level":2,"score":0.5380065441131592},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2910001868","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q458","display_name":"European union","level":2,"score":0.5369529724121094},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C51456166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q182726","display_name":"Genetically modified organism","level":3,"score":0.4884852170944214},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776291640","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2912517","display_name":"Value (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.45837119221687317},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.45317983627319336},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C150903083","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7108","display_name":"Biotechnology","level":1,"score":0.4472808837890625},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48824518","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q396340","display_name":"Agricultural economics","level":1,"score":0.4371100664138794},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C37621935","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3606845","display_name":"Agricultural science","level":1,"score":0.4329180121421814},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.3764263391494751},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C155202549","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q178803","display_name":"International trade","level":1,"score":0.3365741968154907},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.2040957808494568},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.11212819814682007},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C55493867","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7094","display_name":"Biochemistry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3116431","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q31728","display_name":"Public administration","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C104317684","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7187","display_name":"Gene","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1111/j.1477-9552.2008.00157.x","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1477-9552.2008.00157.x","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1477-9552.2008.00157.x","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S14468722","display_name":"Journal of Agricultural Economics","issn_l":"0021-857X","issn":["0021-857X","1477-9552"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Agricultural Economics","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/2","score":0.9208999872207642,"display_name":"Zero hunger"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":59,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W54415217","https://openalex.org/W243366190","https://openalex.org/W1417623620","https://openalex.org/W1441129758","https://openalex.org/W1516816720","https://openalex.org/W1544582752","https://openalex.org/W1564330118","https://openalex.org/W1596793965","https://openalex.org/W1878124036","https://openalex.org/W1914172119","https://openalex.org/W1918669979","https://openalex.org/W1970879439","https://openalex.org/W1989975934","https://openalex.org/W2026781946","https://openalex.org/W2029669610","https://openalex.org/W2036856629","https://openalex.org/W2053821571","https://openalex.org/W2057004430","https://openalex.org/W2058459552","https://openalex.org/W2066376885","https://openalex.org/W2079378490","https://openalex.org/W2081328456","https://openalex.org/W2093889785","https://openalex.org/W2104950320","https://openalex.org/W2109329403","https://openalex.org/W2109457278","https://openalex.org/W2110541200","https://openalex.org/W2114224149","https://openalex.org/W2119519105","https://openalex.org/W2126281469","https://openalex.org/W2126900746","https://openalex.org/W2128335127","https://openalex.org/W2133689152","https://openalex.org/W2136765798","https://openalex.org/W2138551948","https://openalex.org/W2139413474","https://openalex.org/W2145287050","https://openalex.org/W2149923608","https://openalex.org/W2151009679","https://openalex.org/W2153980237","https://openalex.org/W2158977361","https://openalex.org/W2160534476","https://openalex.org/W2164072524","https://openalex.org/W2164760742","https://openalex.org/W2166286644","https://openalex.org/W2175140080","https://openalex.org/W2182026566","https://openalex.org/W2242348527","https://openalex.org/W2249758283","https://openalex.org/W2281528595","https://openalex.org/W2314047263","https://openalex.org/W2331575768","https://openalex.org/W2624880559","https://openalex.org/W2775208435","https://openalex.org/W2788416992","https://openalex.org/W2915128066","https://openalex.org/W3139078291","https://openalex.org/W3142591791","https://openalex.org/W3145057183"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7095828641","https://openalex.org/W2057004430","https://openalex.org/W2742750253","https://openalex.org/W6986143392","https://openalex.org/W2285874068","https://openalex.org/W203195237","https://openalex.org/W1530959896","https://openalex.org/W2104000718","https://openalex.org/W7064306648","https://openalex.org/W764213515"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Abstract":[0],"Some":[1],"argue":[2],"that":[3],"the":[4,11,36,44,49,68,79,107,133,143,180,184,192],"lack":[5],"of":[6,15,85,95,103,110,114,139,156,167,198],"modern":[7],"agricultural":[8],"development":[9],"in":[10,35,142,189],"former":[12],"socialist":[13],"countries":[14],"Central":[16],"and":[17,41,105,131,136,175,183],"Eastern":[18],"Europe":[19],"has":[20],"made":[21],"cutting\u2010edge":[22],"biotechnology":[23],"attractive.":[24],"However,":[25],"enthusiasm":[26],"for":[27,164],"planting":[28],"genetically":[29],"modified":[30],"(GM)":[31],"crops":[32,141,158],"varies":[33],"greatly":[34],"enlarged":[37],"European":[38],"Union":[39],"(EU)":[40],"especially":[42],"among":[43],"New":[45],"Member":[46],"States":[47],"(NMS);":[48],"Czech":[50],"GM":[51,65,140,157,200],"maize":[52],"area":[53],"is":[54,159,188],"progressively":[55],"growing":[56],"whereas":[57],"Hungary":[58],"imposed":[59],"a":[60,147],"de":[61],"facto":[62],"ban":[63,70],"on":[64,92,194],"crops.":[66],"Remarkably,":[67],"Hungarian":[69],"was":[71],"not":[72],"supported":[73],"by":[74,123],"any":[75],"cost\u2013benefit":[76],"assessment.":[77],"In":[78],"literature,":[80],"ex":[81],"ante":[82],"impact":[83,109],"assessments":[84,100],"monopolistically":[86],"priced":[87],"technologies":[88,112],"are":[89],"often":[90],"based":[91],"cross\u2010sectional":[93],"comparisons":[94],"average":[96],"cropping":[97],"budgets.":[98],"Such":[99],"ignore":[101],"heterogeneity":[102,127],"farmers":[104,174],"underestimate":[106],"true":[108],"these":[111],"because":[113],"homogeneity":[115],"bias.":[116],"Therefore,":[117],"we":[118],"propose":[119],"an":[120],"improved":[121],"method":[122],"explicitly":[124],"modelling":[125],"farmer":[126],"under":[128],"imperfect":[129],"information,":[130],"assess":[132],"potential":[134,154],"value":[135,155],"benefit":[137,196],"sharing":[138,197],"two":[144],"NMS":[145],"using":[146],"stochastic":[148],"partial":[149],"equilibrium":[150],"model.":[151],"The":[152],"total":[153],"estimated":[160],"at":[161],"\u20ac82":[162],"million":[163,170,177],"both":[165],"countries,":[166],"which":[168],"\u20ac60":[169],"(73%)":[171],"accrues":[172],"to":[173,179],"\u20ac22":[176],"(27%)":[178],"gene":[181],"developers":[182],"seed":[185],"industry.":[186],"This":[187],"line":[190],"with":[191],"literature":[193],"global":[195],"first\u2010generation":[199],"technologies.":[201]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":7}],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
