{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2008377209","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s0038-0121(01)00025-8","title":"Forecasting the resurgence of the US economy in 2001: an expert judgment approach","display_name":"Forecasting the resurgence of the US economy in 2001: an expert judgment approach","publication_year":2002,"publication_date":"2002-06-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2008377209","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s0038-0121(01)00025-8","mag":"2008377209"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/s0038-0121(01)00025-8","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s0038-0121(01)00025-8","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s0038-0121(01)00025-8","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S153485742","display_name":"Socio-Economic Planning Sciences","issn_l":"0038-0121","issn":["0038-0121","1873-6041"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-c","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","fnege-4","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Socio-Economic Planning Sciences","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5024177732","display_name":"Andrew R. Blair","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I170201317","display_name":"University of Pittsburgh","ror":"https://ror.org/01an3r305","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Andrew R Blair","raw_affiliation_strings":["Katz Graduate School of Business, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, 15260, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Katz Graduate School of Business, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, 15260, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5008988312","display_name":"Robert Nachtmann","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I170201317","display_name":"University of Pittsburgh","ror":"https://ror.org/01an3r305","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Robert Nachtmann","raw_affiliation_strings":["Katz Graduate School of Business, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, 15260, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Katz Graduate School of Business, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, 15260, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5059080063","display_name":"Thomas L. Saaty","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1304-7663","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1304-7663"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I170201317","display_name":"University of Pittsburgh","ror":"https://ror.org/01an3r305","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Thomas L Saaty","raw_affiliation_strings":["Katz Graduate School of Business, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, 15260, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Katz Graduate School of Business, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, 15260, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5047675786","display_name":"Rozann Whitaker","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Rozann Whitaker","raw_affiliation_strings":["CreativeDecisions Foundation, 4922 Ellsworth Avenue, Pittsburgh PA 15213, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"CreativeDecisions Foundation, 4922 Ellsworth Avenue, Pittsburgh PA 15213, USA","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5024177732"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I170201317"],"apc_list":{"value":3550,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3550},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":3.8184,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":67,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.92676077,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"36","issue":"2","first_page":"77","last_page":"91"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9589999914169312,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9589999914169312,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10050","display_name":"Multi-Criteria Decision Making","score":0.00860000029206276,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.0044999998062849045,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/recession","display_name":"economic recession","score":0.5540000200271606},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/expert-opinion","display_name":"expert opinion","score":0.906000018119812},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/analytic-hierarchy-process","display_name":"analytic hierarchy process","score":0.906000018119812},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/analytic-network-process","display_name":"analytic network process","score":1.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/decision-theory","display_name":"decision theory","score":0.6840000152587891},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/september-11-attacks","display_name":"September 11 attacks","score":0.722000002861023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/federal-deficit","display_name":"federal budget deficit","score":0.6669999957084656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/tax-revenue-loss","display_name":"tax revenue loss","score":0.7549999952316284}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C195487862","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q850210","display_name":"Revenue","level":2,"score":0.605668306350708},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778137410","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2732820","display_name":"Government (linguistics)","level":2,"score":0.5498653650283813},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.4752652049064636},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121964417","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q385503","display_name":"Tax revenue","level":2,"score":0.4546048045158386},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162118730","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1128453","display_name":"Actuarial science","level":1,"score":0.3435955047607422},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.3162280321121216},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.25228404998779297},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41895202","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8162","display_name":"Linguistics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":4,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/s0038-0121(01)00025-8","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s0038-0121(01)00025-8","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/s0038-0121(01)00025-8","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S153485742","display_name":"Socio-Economic Planning Sciences","issn_l":"0038-0121","issn":["0038-0121","1873-6041"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-c","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","fnege-4","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-100","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Socio-Economic Planning Sciences","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:bap:journl:150201","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://www.bapress.ca/ref/ref-article/1923-7529-2015-02-01-18.pdf","pdf_url":"http://www.bapress.ca/ref/ref-article/1923-7529-2015-02-01-18.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:eee:soceps:v:36:y:2002:i:2:p:77-91","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0038-0121(01)00025-8","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:eee:soceps:v:44:y:2010:i:3:p:114-121","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0038-0121(10)00011-X","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":12,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W84079886","https://openalex.org/W1506366602","https://openalex.org/W1559875088","https://openalex.org/W1595267951","https://openalex.org/W1603835616","https://openalex.org/W2120856741","https://openalex.org/W2489602167","https://openalex.org/W2970021576","https://openalex.org/W2976495614","https://openalex.org/W4237518483","https://openalex.org/W4285719527","https://openalex.org/W4388853554"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4234203049","https://openalex.org/W2070592070","https://openalex.org/W4240707432","https://openalex.org/W7165302815","https://openalex.org/W2103838488","https://openalex.org/W1480238700","https://openalex.org/W2184781012","https://openalex.org/W6986501604","https://openalex.org/W7165243799","https://openalex.org/W4401340649"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":11},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":7}],"updated_date":"2026-10-30T12:39:25.321706","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
