{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2004276449","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1162/003465399558300","title":"Motor Vehicle Stocks, Scrappage, and Sales","display_name":"Motor Vehicle Stocks, Scrappage, and Sales","publication_year":1999,"publication_date":"1999-08-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2004276449","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1162/003465399558300","mag":"2004276449"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1162/003465399558300","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1162/003465399558300","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1162/003465399558300","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S180061323","display_name":"The Review of Economics and Statistics","issn_l":"0034-6535","issn":["0034-6535","1530-9142"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a-star","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","jufo-3","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315718","host_organization_name":"The MIT Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315718","https://openalex.org/P4310316440"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["The MIT Press","Massachusetts Institute of Technology"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Review of Economics and Statistics","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5011292329","display_name":"Alan Greenspan","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2802905149","display_name":"Federal Reserve Board of Governors","ror":"https://ror.org/00v448643","country_code":"US","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1317239608","https://openalex.org/I2802905149"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Alan Greenspan","raw_affiliation_strings":["Federal Reserve Board"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Federal Reserve Board","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2802905149"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5070407099","display_name":"Darrel S. Cohen","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2802905149","display_name":"Federal Reserve Board of Governors","ror":"https://ror.org/00v448643","country_code":"US","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1317239608","https://openalex.org/I2802905149"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Darrel Cohen","raw_affiliation_strings":["Federal Reserve Board"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Federal Reserve Board","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2802905149"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2802905149"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.587,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":82,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.71474087,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"81","issue":"3","first_page":"369","last_page":"383"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.8910999894142151,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.8910999894142151,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.06379999965429306,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12659","display_name":"Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting","score":0.009999999776482582,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/vehicle-scrappage","display_name":"vehicle scrappage","score":0.9470000267028809},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/new-vehicle-sales","display_name":"new vehicle sales","score":0.8289999961853027},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sales-forecasting","display_name":"sales forecasting","score":0.6499999761581421},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/vehicle-retirement","display_name":"vehicle retirement","score":0.5879999995231628},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/macroeconomic-forecasting","display_name":"macroeconomic forecasting","score":0.7120000123977661},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series-estimation","display_name":"time series estimation","score":0.6359999775886536},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/united-states","display_name":"United States","score":0.49900001287460327}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C204036174","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q909380","display_name":"Stock (firearms)","level":2,"score":0.6276664137840271},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4679612","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q866298","display_name":"Aggregate (composite)","level":2,"score":0.5502325892448425},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.47499290108680725},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.4721011221408844},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48103436","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q599031","display_name":"State (computer science)","level":2,"score":0.41936391592025757},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.30989760160446167},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.1890842318534851},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C192562407","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q228736","display_name":"Materials science","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C78519656","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q101333","display_name":"Mechanical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11413529","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8366","display_name":"Algorithm","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159985019","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q181790","display_name":"Composite material","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":5,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1162/003465399558300","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1162/003465399558300","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1162/003465399558300","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S180061323","display_name":"The Review of Economics and Statistics","issn_l":"0034-6535","issn":["0034-6535","1530-9142"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a-star","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","jufo-3","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315718","host_organization_name":"The MIT Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315718","https://openalex.org/P4310316440"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["The MIT Press","Massachusetts Institute of Technology"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Review of Economics and Statistics","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:fip:fedgfe:1996-40","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/feds/1996/199640/199640pap.pdf","pdf_url":"http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/feds/1996/199640/199640pap.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"preprint"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:tpr:restat:v:81:y:1999:i:3:p:369-383","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1162/003465399558300","pdf_url":"http://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1162/003465399558300","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.161.1820","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.161.1820","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/feds/1996/199640/199640pap.pdf","raw_type":"text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:fip:fedgfe:96-40","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/feds/1996/199640/199640abs.html","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"preprint"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[{"score":0.4300000071525574,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/8","display_name":"Decent work and economic growth"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":12,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1986339854","https://openalex.org/W1988590111","https://openalex.org/W1995885505","https://openalex.org/W2051441958","https://openalex.org/W2066328057","https://openalex.org/W2094155220","https://openalex.org/W2117338258","https://openalex.org/W2329891318","https://openalex.org/W2740984722","https://openalex.org/W3145693785","https://openalex.org/W4234067900","https://openalex.org/W4298863114"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1979858058","https://openalex.org/W2247873206","https://openalex.org/W2619041362","https://openalex.org/W591145520","https://openalex.org/W2078900778","https://openalex.org/W2061062475","https://openalex.org/W2263963287","https://openalex.org/W637091244","https://openalex.org/W7081566528","https://openalex.org/W590086890"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0],"paper":[1,76],"offers":[2],"a":[3,37,69,78],"framework":[4,14],"for":[5,18,26],"forecasting":[6,71],"aggregate":[7],"sales":[8],"of":[9,29,40,47,84],"new":[10,52,79],"motor":[11,85],"vehicles;":[12],"this":[13,33,75],"incorporates":[15],"separate":[16],"models":[17],"the":[19,22,27,45,48,89],"change":[20],"in":[21,88],"vehicle":[23,30,53,59,86],"stock":[24],"and":[25,55,58],"rate":[28],"scrappage.":[31],"Because":[32],"approach":[34],"requires":[35],"only":[36],"minimal":[38],"set":[39],"assumptions":[41],"about":[42],"demographic":[43],"trends,":[44],"state":[46],"economy,":[49],"consumer":[50],"\u201cpreferences,\u201d":[51],"prices":[54],"repair":[56],"costs,":[57],"retirements,":[60],"it":[61],"is":[62],"shown":[63],"to":[64],"be":[65],"especially":[66],"useful":[67],"as":[68],"macroeconomic":[70],"tool.":[72],"In":[73],"addition,":[74],"presents":[77],"historical":[80],"annual":[81],"time-series":[82],"estimate":[83],"stocks":[87],"United":[90],"States.":[91]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":4}],"updated_date":"2026-10-30T12:39:25.321706","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
