{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2001801154","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3846/13923730.2011.625641","title":"DEVELOPING A CONSTRUCTION-DURATION MODEL BASED ON A HISTORICAL DATASET FOR BUILDING PROJECT / STATYB\u0172 PROJEKTO REALIZAVIMO TRUKM\u0116S MODELIO, PAGR\u012eSTO ISTORINIAIS DUOMENIMIS, K\u016aRIMAS","display_name":"DEVELOPING A CONSTRUCTION-DURATION MODEL BASED ON A HISTORICAL DATASET FOR BUILDING PROJECT / STATYB\u0172 PROJEKTO REALIZAVIMO TRUKM\u0116S MODELIO, PAGR\u012eSTO ISTORINIAIS DUOMENIMIS, K\u016aRIMAS","publication_year":2011,"publication_date":"2011-12-21","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2001801154","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3846/13923730.2011.625641","mag":"2001801154"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.3846/13923730.2011.625641","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3846/13923730.2011.625641","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3846/13923730.2011.625641","pdf_url":"https://journals.vilniustech.lt/index.php/JCEM/article/download/5252/4539","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S61418348","display_name":"Journal of Civil Engineering and Management","issn_l":"1392-3730","issn":["1392-3730","1822-3605"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-c","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-70","russia-white-list-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547","https://openalex.org/P4310320449"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis","Informa"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Civil Engineering and Management","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://journals.vilniustech.lt/index.php/JCEM/article/download/5252/4539","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5016750799","display_name":"Ming-Chiao Lin","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I16733864","display_name":"National Taiwan University","ror":"https://ror.org/05bqach95","country_code":"TW","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I16733864"]}],"countries":["TW"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ming-Chiao Lin","raw_affiliation_strings":["Division of Construction Engineering and Management, Department of Civil Engineering, National Taiwan University, No. 1 Roosevelt Rd., Sec. 4, Taipei, Taiwan"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Division of Construction Engineering and Management, Department of Civil Engineering, National Taiwan University, No. 1 Roosevelt Rd., Sec. 4, Taipei, Taiwan","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16733864"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5110107018","display_name":"H. Ping Tserng","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4169-7487","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4169-7487"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I16733864","display_name":"National Taiwan University","ror":"https://ror.org/05bqach95","country_code":"TW","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I16733864"]}],"countries":["TW"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Hui Ping Tserng","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Civil Engineering, National Taiwan University, No. 1 Roosevelt Rd., Sec. 4, Taipei, Taiwan"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Civil Engineering, National Taiwan University, No. 1 Roosevelt Rd., Sec. 4, Taipei, Taiwan","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16733864"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5081280486","display_name":"S. Ping Ho","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8977-033X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8977-033X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I16733864","display_name":"National Taiwan University","ror":"https://ror.org/05bqach95","country_code":"TW","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I16733864"]}],"countries":["TW"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Shih-Ping Ho","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Civil Engineering, National Taiwan University, No. 1 Roosevelt Rd., Sec. 4, Taipei, Taiwan"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Civil Engineering, National Taiwan University, No. 1 Roosevelt Rd., Sec. 4, Taipei, Taiwan","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16733864"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5049054456","display_name":"Der Liang Young","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3611-2982","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3611-2982","https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0489-039X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I16733864","display_name":"National Taiwan University","ror":"https://ror.org/05bqach95","country_code":"TW","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I16733864"]}],"countries":["TW"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Der-Liang Young","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Civil Engineering, National Taiwan University, No. 1 Roosevelt Rd., Sec. 4, Taipei, Taiwan"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Civil Engineering, National Taiwan University, No. 1 Roosevelt Rd., Sec. 4, Taipei, Taiwan","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16733864"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16733864"],"apc_list":{"value":480,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":517},"apc_paid":{"value":480,"currency":"EUR","value_usd":517},"fwci":3.4639,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":39,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.92080594,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"17","issue":"4","first_page":"529","last_page":"539"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10395","display_name":"Construction Project Management and Performance","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10395","display_name":"Construction Project Management and Performance","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11006","display_name":"BIM and Construction Integration","score":0.0003000000142492354,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2215","display_name":"Building and Construction"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12177","display_name":"Resource-Constrained Project Scheduling","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/construction-duration-prediction","display_name":"construction duration prediction","score":0.7730000019073486},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/steel-reinforced-concrete-buildings","display_name":"steel reinforced concrete buildings","score":0.7549999952316284},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/construction-delays","display_name":"construction delays","score":0.6119999885559082},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/regression-model-selection","display_name":"regression model selection","score":0.8579999804496765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cross-validation","display_name":"cross-validation","score":0.7260000109672546},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mean-square-prediction-error","display_name":"mean square prediction error","score":0.8330000042915344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/project-characteristics","display_name":"project characteristics","score":0.6520000100135803},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/prediction-accuracy","display_name":"prediction accuracy","score":0.546999990940094}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112758219","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q16038819","display_name":"Duration (music)","level":2,"score":0.8386533260345459},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C43214815","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7310987","display_name":"Reliability (semiconductor)","level":3,"score":0.6215339303016663},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C152877465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q208042","display_name":"Regression analysis","level":2,"score":0.5716837048530579},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.43438655138015747},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C189474733","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q917912","display_name":"Model building","level":2,"score":0.4240504503250122},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48677424","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6888088","display_name":"Mode (computer interface)","level":2,"score":0.41875749826431274},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C200601418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2193887","display_name":"Reliability engineering","level":1,"score":0.41834068298339844},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C83546350","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1139051","display_name":"Regression","level":2,"score":0.41716712713241577},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.39128851890563965},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.3431951403617859},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.26526758074760437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142362112","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q735","display_name":"Art","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163258240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25342","display_name":"Power (physics)","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111919701","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9135","display_name":"Operating system","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124952713","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8242","display_name":"Literature","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.3846/13923730.2011.625641","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3846/13923730.2011.625641","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3846/13923730.2011.625641","pdf_url":"https://journals.vilniustech.lt/index.php/JCEM/article/download/5252/4539","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S61418348","display_name":"Journal of Civil Engineering and Management","issn_l":"1392-3730","issn":["1392-3730","1822-3605"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-c","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-70","russia-white-list-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547","https://openalex.org/P4310320449"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis","Informa"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Civil Engineering and Management","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:31570ff630c54186a42b1501a4f8542d","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/31570ff630c54186a42b1501a4f8542d","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Civil Engineering and Management, Vol 17, Iss 4 (2011)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.3846/13923730.2011.625641","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3846/13923730.2011.625641","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3846/13923730.2011.625641","pdf_url":"https://journals.vilniustech.lt/index.php/JCEM/article/download/5252/4539","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S61418348","display_name":"Journal of Civil Engineering and Management","issn_l":"1392-3730","issn":["1392-3730","1822-3605"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-c","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-70","russia-white-list-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547","https://openalex.org/P4310320449"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis","Informa"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Civil Engineering and Management","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.651199996471405,"display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9"},{"score":0.5142999887466431,"display_name":"Sustainable cities and communities","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/11"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2001801154.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2001801154.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":23,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1529876150","https://openalex.org/W1840218356","https://openalex.org/W1965878908","https://openalex.org/W1978536677","https://openalex.org/W1980679378","https://openalex.org/W1999956541","https://openalex.org/W2006421623","https://openalex.org/W2008709479","https://openalex.org/W2010068769","https://openalex.org/W2017366801","https://openalex.org/W2017624038","https://openalex.org/W2020210348","https://openalex.org/W2057577661","https://openalex.org/W2058556832","https://openalex.org/W2083155643","https://openalex.org/W2083809153","https://openalex.org/W2086594228","https://openalex.org/W2087997075","https://openalex.org/W2112068920","https://openalex.org/W2151347218","https://openalex.org/W2168188048","https://openalex.org/W2212564153","https://openalex.org/W2796901959"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2183113803","https://openalex.org/W1480038145","https://openalex.org/W7111934555","https://openalex.org/W2566660201","https://openalex.org/W7169621826","https://openalex.org/W2120408564","https://openalex.org/W2951053251","https://openalex.org/W2896002315","https://openalex.org/W2212564153","https://openalex.org/W6968417822"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,36,95,113],"delay":[1],"of":[2,38,90,103,109,115,128,140,158,299],"vast":[3],"building":[4,21,53],"projects":[5,22,198],"is":[6,13,41,58,97,121,172,183],"still":[7],"a":[8,28,44,200],"common":[9],"problem.":[10],"This":[11],"situation":[12],"extraordinarily":[14],"severe":[15],"to":[16,26,42,60,86,99,123,153,175,194],"steel":[17],"reinforced":[18],"concrete":[19],"(SRC)":[20],"that":[23,136,166,185],"keep":[24],"going":[25],"promote":[27],"new":[29],"structure":[30],"system":[31],"in":[32],"Taiwan's":[33],"construction":[34,170,197],"industry.":[35],"aim":[37],"this":[39],"study":[40],"develop":[43],"feasible":[45],"contract":[46],"duration":[47,171,177,188],"model":[48,67,92,130,144,160,189],"based":[49],"upon":[50],"few":[51],"SRC":[52,196],"cases.":[54],"A":[55],"logical":[56],"approach":[57],"employed":[59],"select":[61],"and":[62,74,107,132,162],"assure":[63],"the":[64,88,91,101,104,110,116,125,129,133,137,141,155,159,163,167,176,180,186,195,300],"\u201cgood\u201d":[65],"regression":[66,111,143],"identified":[68],"when":[69],"project":[70],"characteristics":[71],"were":[72,77],"known":[73],"external":[75],"uncertainties":[76],"reasonably":[78],"estimated.":[79],"Different":[80],"necessary":[81,169],"diagnostics":[82],"had":[83],"been":[84],"adopted":[85],"examine":[87],"aptness":[89],"before":[93],"inference.":[94],"cross-validation":[96],"used":[98],"validate":[100],"appropriateness":[102],"variables":[105],"selected":[106,122,142],"magnitudes":[108],"coefficients.":[112],"mean":[114],"square":[117],"prediction":[118],"errors":[119],"(MSPR)":[120],"measure":[124],"predictive":[126,138,156,187],"ability":[127,139],"proposed,":[131,161],"result":[134,164],"shows":[135,165],"could":[145,191],"be":[146,192],"adequate.":[147],"Finally,":[148],"several":[149],"cases":[150],"are":[151],"taken":[152],"test":[154],"accuracy":[157],"actually":[168],"considerably":[173],"closed":[174],"predicted":[178],"by":[179],"mode.":[181],"It":[182],"concluded":[184],"proposed":[190],"applicable":[193],"with":[199],"reasonable":[201],"reliability.":[202],"Santrauka":[203],"V\u0117lavimas":[204],"realizuojant":[205],"stambius":[206],"statyb\u0173":[207,219,227,329],"projektus":[208],"teb\u0117ra":[209],"da\u017ena":[210],"problema.":[211],"\u0160i":[212],"situacija":[213],"ypa\u010d":[214],"rimta":[215],"dirbant":[216],"su":[217],"gel\u017ebetonini\u0173":[218],"projektais,":[220],"kuriais":[221],"populiarinama":[222],"nauj\u0173":[223],"konstrukcij\u0173":[224],"sistema":[225],"Taivanio":[226],"sektoriuje.":[228],"\u0160iuo":[229],"tyrimu":[230],"siekiama":[231],"sukurti":[232],"tinkam\u0105":[233],"sutarties":[234],"trukm\u0117s":[235,340],"model\u012f,":[236],"pagr\u012fst\u0105":[237],"keliais":[238],"gel\u017ebetonin\u0117s":[239,345],"statybos":[240,346],"atvejais.":[241],"Atrenkant":[242],"ir":[243,282],"u\u017etikrinant,":[244],"kad":[245,307,325,338],"b\u016bt\u0173":[246],"sudarytas":[247],",,geras\u201c":[248],"regresijos":[249,283,309],"modelis,":[250],"kai":[251],"projekto":[252],"savyb\u0117s":[253],"\u017einomos,":[254],"o":[255,348],"i\u0161oriniai":[256],"neapibr\u0117\u017etumai":[257],"pakankamai":[258],"\u012fvertinti,":[259],"taikytas":[260],"loginis":[261],"metodas.":[262],"Prie\u0161":[263],"darant":[264],"i\u0161vadas":[265],"modelio":[266,289,320,333],"tinkamumas":[267,281],"buvo":[268],"i\u0161nagrin\u0117tas":[269],"naudojant":[270],"skirtingas":[271],"b\u016btinos":[272],"diagnostikos":[273],"priemones.":[274],"Naudojant":[275],"kry\u017emin\u012f":[276],"patikrinim\u0105":[277],"pagrind\u017eiamas":[278],"pasirinkt\u0173":[279],"kintamuj\u0173":[280],"koeficient\u0173":[284],"vert\u0117s.":[285],"Siekiant":[286],"\u012fvertinti":[287],"si\u016blomo":[288,319],"tinkamum\u0105":[290],"prognozuoti,":[291],"apskai\u010diuotos":[292],"vidutin\u0117s":[293],"kvadratin\u0117s":[294],"prognozavimo":[295],"paklaidos":[296],"(angl.":[297],"Mean":[298],"Square":[301],"Prediction":[302],"Errors,":[303],"MSPR).":[304],"Rezultatas":[305,323],"rodo,":[306,324],"pasirinktasis":[308],"modelis":[310],"prognozuoja":[311],"gana":[312,331,352],"gerai.":[313],"Pagaliau":[314],"pasirinkus":[315],"kelis":[316],"atvejus":[317],"i\u0161bandomas":[318],"prognozi\u0173":[321,341],"tikslumas.":[322],"faktin\u0117":[326],"b\u016b":[327],"tina":[328],"trukm\u0117":[330],"artima":[332],"prognozuojamai":[334],"trukmei.":[335],"Daroma":[336],"i\u0161vada,":[337],"si\u016blom\u0105":[339],"model\u012f":[342],"galima":[343],"taikyti":[344],"projektuose,":[347],"jo":[349],"rezultatai":[350],"bus":[351],"patikimi.":[353]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-10-30T12:39:25.321706","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}