{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2000839068","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2307/2009582","title":"Failures in National Intelligence Estimates: The Case of the Cuban Missiles","display_name":"Failures in National Intelligence Estimates: The Case of the Cuban Missiles","publication_year":1964,"publication_date":"1964-04-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2000839068","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2307/2009582","mag":"2000839068"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.2307/2009582","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2307/2009582","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2307/2009582","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S143110675","display_name":"World Politics","issn_l":"0043-8871","issn":["0043-8871","1086-3338"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","jufo-3","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310311721","host_organization_name":"Cambridge University Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310311721","https://openalex.org/P4310311702"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Cambridge University Press","University of Cambridge"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"World Politics","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5114022993","display_name":"Klaus Knorr","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I20089843","display_name":"Princeton University","ror":"https://ror.org/00hx57361","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I20089843"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Klaus Knorr","raw_affiliation_strings":["Princeton University","Princeton University#TAB#"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Princeton University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I20089843"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Princeton University#TAB#","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I20089843"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5114022993"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I20089843"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":61,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.12427846,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"16","issue":"3","first_page":"455","last_page":"467"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12572","display_name":"Intelligence, Security, War Strategy","score":0.9976000189781189,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12572","display_name":"Intelligence, Security, War Strategy","score":0.9976000189781189,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14032","display_name":"History and International Relations","score":0.0007999999797903001,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13993","display_name":"Historical Geopolitical and Social Dynamics","score":0.0006000000284984708,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/intelligence-failure","display_name":"intelligence failure","score":0.5640000104904175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/national-intelligence-estimates","display_name":"National Intelligence Estimate","score":0.9070000052452087},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cuban-missile-crisis","display_name":"Cuban Missile Crisis","score":0.8479999899864197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/intelligence-assessment","display_name":"intelligence assessment","score":0.6119999885559082},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cold-war","display_name":"Cold War","score":0.6570000052452087},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/us-intelligence-community","display_name":"US intelligence community","score":0.4650000035762787}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.5202480554580688},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.37455451488494873},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C38652104","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3510521","display_name":"Computer security","level":1,"score":0.34507402777671814}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.2307/2009582","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2307/2009582","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2307/2009582","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S143110675","display_name":"World Politics","issn_l":"0043-8871","issn":["0043-8871","1086-3338"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-a","anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","erih-plus","jufo-3","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310311721","host_organization_name":"Cambridge University Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310311721","https://openalex.org/P4310311702"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Cambridge University Press","University of Cambridge"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"World Politics","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16","score":0.6601999998092651,"display_name":"Peace, justice, and strong institutions"}],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":14,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W646391398","https://openalex.org/W1986843355","https://openalex.org/W1994408908","https://openalex.org/W2081651808","https://openalex.org/W2085564282","https://openalex.org/W2092062029","https://openalex.org/W2095906604","https://openalex.org/W2156879123","https://openalex.org/W2165007394","https://openalex.org/W2329489156","https://openalex.org/W2795501114","https://openalex.org/W2795601278","https://openalex.org/W4298056971","https://openalex.org/W4299415404"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4235761427","https://openalex.org/W3011714490","https://openalex.org/W4308630519","https://openalex.org/W4385505149","https://openalex.org/W2618773105","https://openalex.org/W4230234679","https://openalex.org/W7074131819","https://openalex.org/W6997367245","https://openalex.org/W7001358065","https://openalex.org/W4244742159"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-10-16T09:59:22.235173","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}