{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2000637480","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1086/296625","title":"Dating Turning Points in the Business Cycle","display_name":"Dating Turning Points in the Business Cycle","publication_year":1994,"publication_date":"1994-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2000637480","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1086/296625","mag":"2000637480"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1086/296625","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1086/296625","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1086/296625","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S64223753","display_name":"The Journal of Business","issn_l":"0021-9398","issn":["0021-9398","1537-5374"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315672","host_organization_name":"University of Chicago Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315672","https://openalex.org/P4310315690"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["University of Chicago Press","University of Chicago"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"The Journal of Business","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5050188657","display_name":"Michael D. Boldin","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Michael D. Boldin","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5050188657"],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":4.6985,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":118,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.94213882,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"67","issue":"1","first_page":"97","last_page":"97"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9937000274658203,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9937000274658203,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13399","display_name":"Unemployment and Economic Growth","score":0.002099999925121665,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.0013000000035390258,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/business-cycle-turning-points","display_name":"business cycle turning points","score":0.8859999775886536}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C83873408","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q192311","display_name":"Business cycle","level":2,"score":0.6916676163673401},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3018122192","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q569250","display_name":"Turning point","level":3,"score":0.535624623298645},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.4692862927913666},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C165556158","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q83937","display_name":"Keynesian economics","level":1,"score":0.3461623787879944},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.1137862503528595},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781291010","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q178580","display_name":"Period (music)","level":2,"score":0.07661941647529602},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107038049","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q35986","display_name":"Aesthetics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1086/296625","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1086/296625","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1086/296625","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S64223753","display_name":"The Journal of Business","issn_l":"0021-9398","issn":["0021-9398","1537-5374"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315672","host_organization_name":"University of Chicago Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315672","https://openalex.org/P4310315690"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["University of Chicago Press","University of Chicago"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"The Journal of Business","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":20,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W216581007","https://openalex.org/W1588400824","https://openalex.org/W1975543141","https://openalex.org/W1995114596","https://openalex.org/W2002391004","https://openalex.org/W2009723230","https://openalex.org/W2013102392","https://openalex.org/W2016248637","https://openalex.org/W2047267734","https://openalex.org/W2051493087","https://openalex.org/W2063553566","https://openalex.org/W2074812030","https://openalex.org/W2082728798","https://openalex.org/W2086456382","https://openalex.org/W2136067494","https://openalex.org/W2327351176","https://openalex.org/W2991445549","https://openalex.org/W3121343633","https://openalex.org/W3123753677","https://openalex.org/W3149629515"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1983138906","https://openalex.org/W2116023773","https://openalex.org/W7037255952","https://openalex.org/W2089395798","https://openalex.org/W4386846589","https://openalex.org/W7095439575","https://openalex.org/W7097145621","https://openalex.org/W1555875901","https://openalex.org/W1595852061","https://openalex.org/W7073721928"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,76],"author":[1,39,77],"reviews":[2],"and":[3,9,30],"evaluates":[4],"procedures":[5],"for":[6],"dating":[7,49],"peaks":[8],"troughs":[10],"of":[11,25,33,100],"the":[12,31,38,41,67,71],"business":[13],"cycle.":[14],"Five":[15],"different":[16],"methods":[17,50,59],"are":[18,51],"judged":[19],"on":[20,85],"their":[21],"historical":[22],"performance,":[23],"age":[24],"replication,":[26],"clarity,":[27],"timeliness,":[28],"flexibility,":[29],"validity":[32],"underlying":[34],"assumptions.":[35],"In":[36],"addition,":[37],"examines":[40],"1990-92":[42],"period":[43],"in":[44,70],"detail":[45],"where":[46],"two":[47],"newer":[48],"especially":[52],"insightful":[53],"because":[54],"they":[55],"use":[56],"statistically":[57],"rigorous":[58],"to":[60,88],"derive":[61],"turning":[62],"point":[63],"probabilities":[64],"and,":[65],"thereby,":[66],"inherent":[68],"uncertainty":[69],"data":[72],"can":[73],"be":[74],"recognized.":[75],"also":[78],"concludes":[79],"that":[80],"additional":[81],"research":[82],"is":[83],"needed":[84],"this":[86],"topic":[87],"resolve":[89],"some":[90],"important":[91],"controversies":[92],"about":[93],"business-cycle":[94],"characteristics.":[95],"Copyright":[96],"1994":[97],"by":[98],"University":[99],"Chicago":[101],"Press.":[102]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-10-28T10:33:24.094632","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}