{"id":"https://openalex.org/W1994904501","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2010.09.075","title":"Uncertainty analysis for the forecast of lake level fluctuations using ensembles of ANN and ANFIS models","display_name":"Uncertainty analysis for the forecast of lake level fluctuations using ensembles of ANN and ANFIS models","publication_year":2010,"publication_date":"2010-09-28","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W1994904501","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2010.09.075","mag":"1994904501"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2010.09.075","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2010.09.075","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2010.09.075","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S13144211","display_name":"Expert Systems with Applications","issn_l":"0957-4174","issn":["0957-4174","1873-6793"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","ccf-c","cwts-core","dongbi-c","doyens","fnege-3","jufo-2","ki-jl-2","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Expert Systems with Applications","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5089298799","display_name":"Mansour Talebizadeh","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3535-7731","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3535-7731"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1516879","display_name":"Tarbiat Modares University","ror":"https://ror.org/03mwgfy56","country_code":"IR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1516879"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4405268333","display_name":"Water Research Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/00mmg8h26","country_code":"IR","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405268333"]}],"countries":["IR"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Mansour Talebizadeh","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Water Resources Research, Institute of Water Researches, Ministry of Energy, Tehran, Iran","Tarbiat Modares University, School of Water Science, Water Resource Department, Iran"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Water Resources Research, Institute of Water Researches, Ministry of Energy, Tehran, Iran","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4405268333"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Tarbiat Modares University, School of Water Science, Water Resource Department, Iran","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1516879"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5027235678","display_name":"Ali Moridnejad","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1516879","display_name":"Tarbiat Modares University","ror":"https://ror.org/03mwgfy56","country_code":"IR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1516879"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4405268333","display_name":"Water Research Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/00mmg8h26","country_code":"IR","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4405268333"]}],"countries":["IR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ali Moridnejad","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Water Resources Research, Institute of Water Researches, Ministry of Energy, Tehran, Iran","Tarbiat Modares University, School of Water Science, Water Resource Department, Iran"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Water Resources Research, Institute of Water Researches, Ministry of Energy, Tehran, Iran","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4405268333"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Tarbiat Modares University, School of Water Science, Water Resource Department, Iran","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1516879"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5089298799"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1516879","https://openalex.org/I4405268333"],"apc_list":{"value":3500,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3500},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":7.2924,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":162,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.96661466,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":91,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"38","issue":"4","first_page":"4126","last_page":"4135"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11490","display_name":"Hydrological Forecasting Using AI","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2305","display_name":"Environmental Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11490","display_name":"Hydrological Forecasting Using AI","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2305","display_name":"Environmental Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10330","display_name":"Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2312","display_name":"Water Science and Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10969","display_name":"Water resources management and optimization","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2312","display_name":"Water Science and Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/lake-urmia","display_name":"Lake Urmia","score":0.9100000262260437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/uncertainty-analysis","display_name":"uncertainty analysis","score":0.9559999704360962},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/neural-network","display_name":"artificial neural networks","score":0.8610000014305115},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/adaptive-neuro-fuzzy-inference-system","display_name":"adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system","score":0.8989999890327454},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ensemble-learning","display_name":"ensemble learning","score":0.8040000200271606},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/water-balance","display_name":"water balance","score":0.6610000133514404},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/rainfall","display_name":"rainfall","score":0.9229999780654907},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/evaporation","display_name":"evaporation","score":0.9950000047683716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/inflow","display_name":"inflow","score":0.8980000019073486},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/confidence-intervals","display_name":"confidence intervals","score":0.734000027179718}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C186108316","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q352530","display_name":"Adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system","level":4,"score":0.8453091382980347},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776132308","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11070850","display_name":"Inflow","level":2,"score":0.694718062877655},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C21200559","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7451068","display_name":"Sensitivity (control systems)","level":2,"score":0.5979241132736206},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5154779553413391},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.4521881639957428},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C143724316","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q312468","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","level":2,"score":0.41956526041030884},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.3771127164363861},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.31849241256713867},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.2416955828666687},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.17933017015457153},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.06976142525672913},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.060273200273513794},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C58166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q224821","display_name":"Fuzzy logic","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C195975749","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1475705","display_name":"Fuzzy control system","level":3,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24326235","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q126095","display_name":"Electronic engineering","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2010.09.075","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2010.09.075","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2010.09.075","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S13144211","display_name":"Expert Systems with Applications","issn_l":"0957-4174","issn":["0957-4174","1873-6793"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","ccf-c","cwts-core","dongbi-c","doyens","fnege-3","jufo-2","ki-jl-2","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Expert Systems with Applications","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Clean water and sanitation","score":0.6618000268936157,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/6"},{"display_name":"Climate action","score":0.4399999976158142,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":46,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W526231","https://openalex.org/W255309579","https://openalex.org/W1542813816","https://openalex.org/W1570834090","https://openalex.org/W1575750807","https://openalex.org/W1969165252","https://openalex.org/W1973676661","https://openalex.org/W1987801991","https://openalex.org/W1995945562","https://openalex.org/W1998893231","https://openalex.org/W2001063743","https://openalex.org/W2008932119","https://openalex.org/W2009203913","https://openalex.org/W2011412119","https://openalex.org/W2017198208","https://openalex.org/W2019451733","https://openalex.org/W2026063266","https://openalex.org/W2041534329","https://openalex.org/W2063756720","https://openalex.org/W2064820716","https://openalex.org/W2065329923","https://openalex.org/W2069057356","https://openalex.org/W2086688658","https://openalex.org/W2101038146","https://openalex.org/W2103414828","https://openalex.org/W2103496339","https://openalex.org/W2106022566","https://openalex.org/W2115299933","https://openalex.org/W2118277375","https://openalex.org/W2128003492","https://openalex.org/W2133321814","https://openalex.org/W2137983211","https://openalex.org/W2143381863","https://openalex.org/W2155482699","https://openalex.org/W2164017619","https://openalex.org/W2165313910","https://openalex.org/W2167170348","https://openalex.org/W2912934387","https://openalex.org/W3106889297","https://openalex.org/W3176049587","https://openalex.org/W4230173782","https://openalex.org/W4244985180","https://openalex.org/W4285719527","https://openalex.org/W4401192732","https://openalex.org/W6605154018","https://openalex.org/W6677798247"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2001643168","https://openalex.org/W3116430925","https://openalex.org/W2120304879","https://openalex.org/W2591311054","https://openalex.org/W4389835133","https://openalex.org/W2911052303","https://openalex.org/W2003180829","https://openalex.org/W2084526672","https://openalex.org/W2168646019","https://openalex.org/W1505117892"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":27},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":14},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":12},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":11},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":12},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":11},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":9}],"updated_date":"2026-11-10T11:39:43.021295","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
