{"id":"https://openalex.org/W1976748739","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03033910.1975.10557618","title":"Human Performance in Assessing Subjective Probability Distributions","display_name":"Human Performance in Assessing Subjective Probability Distributions","publication_year":1975,"publication_date":"1975-12-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W1976748739","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03033910.1975.10557618","mag":"1976748739"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1080/03033910.1975.10557618","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03033910.1975.10557618","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03033910.1975.10557618","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S46855852","display_name":"The Irish Journal of Psychology","issn_l":"0303-3910","issn":["0303-3910","2158-0812"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","jufo-1","norway-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547","https://openalex.org/P4310320449"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis","Informa"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"The Irish Journal of Psychology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5015386878","display_name":"Enda Hession","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I100930933","display_name":"University College Dublin","ror":"https://ror.org/05m7pjf47","country_code":"IE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I100930933"]}],"countries":["IE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Enda Hession","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Business Administration, University College, Dublin"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Business Administration, University College, Dublin","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I100930933"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5108424428","display_name":"Eunice McCarthy","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I100930933","display_name":"University College Dublin","ror":"https://ror.org/05m7pjf47","country_code":"IE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I100930933"]}],"countries":["IE"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Eunice McCarthy","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Psychology, University College, Dublin"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Psychology, University College, Dublin","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I100930933"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I100930933"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":2,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":94},"biblio":{"volume":"3","issue":"1","first_page":"31","last_page":"46"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.9839000105857849,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.9839000105857849,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10467","display_name":"Psychometric Methodologies and Testing","score":0.002300000051036477,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.0017999999690800905,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/subjective-probability-assessment","display_name":"subjective probability assessment","score":0.9800000190734863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/overconfidence","display_name":"overconfidence","score":0.6489999890327454},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/category-width","display_name":"category width","score":0.9010000228881836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/personality-traits","display_name":"personality traits","score":0.6809999942779541},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/rigidity","display_name":"rigidity","score":0.7170000076293945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/dogmatism","display_name":"dogmatism","score":0.9419999718666077},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/intelligence","display_name":"intelligence","score":0.5770000219345093},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/decision-making","display_name":"decision-making","score":0.5550000071525574},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/human-performance","display_name":"human performance","score":0.3919999897480011}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C51110983","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q16503490","display_name":"Overconfidence effect","level":2,"score":0.8785485029220581},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.8173630237579346},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187288502","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q641118","display_name":"Personality","level":2,"score":0.5130301713943481},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77805123","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161272","display_name":"Social psychology","level":1,"score":0.48676180839538574},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778755073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10858537","display_name":"Scale (ratio)","level":2,"score":0.4598582088947296},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.37637150287628174},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C70410870","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q199906","display_name":"Clinical psychology","level":1,"score":0.34123384952545166},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.18207913637161255},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1080/03033910.1975.10557618","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03033910.1975.10557618","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03033910.1975.10557618","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S46855852","display_name":"The Irish Journal of Psychology","issn_l":"0303-3910","issn":["0303-3910","2158-0812"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","jufo-1","norway-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547","https://openalex.org/P4310320449"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis","Informa"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"The Irish Journal of Psychology","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":13,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W577542971","https://openalex.org/W1507663289","https://openalex.org/W1522174440","https://openalex.org/W1538705200","https://openalex.org/W1966585245","https://openalex.org/W1986637347","https://openalex.org/W1987103639","https://openalex.org/W2046352996","https://openalex.org/W2058432525","https://openalex.org/W2068370029","https://openalex.org/W2073241381","https://openalex.org/W2177137654","https://openalex.org/W2316445691"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2087471475","https://openalex.org/W390355874","https://openalex.org/W2012542647","https://openalex.org/W7098688151","https://openalex.org/W7100074875","https://openalex.org/W2193811839","https://openalex.org/W2012202508","https://openalex.org/W1976425195","https://openalex.org/W1522174440","https://openalex.org/W2335556038"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Thirty-seven":[0],"graduate":[1],"students":[2],"of":[3,55,59,74],"business":[4],"assessed":[5],"subjective":[6,22],"probability":[7,23,102],"distributions":[8],"for":[9,76],"55":[10],"\u2018uncertain":[11],"quantities\u2019,":[12],"after":[13],"receiving":[14],"initial":[15],"training":[16],"in":[17,21,61,96,101],"Decision":[18],"Analysis":[19],"and":[20,51,63],"assessment":[24,62],"techniques.":[25],"Subjects\u2019":[26],"responses":[27],"were":[28],"also":[29],"obtained":[30],"on":[31],"the":[32,77,83,98],"following":[33],"psychological":[34],"measures:":[35],"The":[36],"29-item":[37],"California":[38],"F":[39],"Scale,":[40],"Rokeach\u2019s":[41],"Dogmatism":[42],"scale,":[43,46],"Gough-Sanford":[44],"Rigidity":[45],"Pettigrew\u2019s":[47],"Category":[48,86],"Width":[49],"(C-W)":[50],"Heim\u2019s":[52],"AH5":[53],"test":[54],"general":[56],"intelligence.":[57],"Degree":[58],"overconfidence":[60,99],"category":[64],"width":[65,87],"scores":[66],"showed,":[67],"as":[68,88],"expected,":[69],"a":[70,89],"negative":[71],"association;":[72],"r":[73],"\u2014.41":[75],"total":[78],"group":[79],"was":[80],"significant":[81],"at":[82],".05":[84],"level.":[85],"personality":[90],"variable":[91],"may":[92],"thus":[93],"be":[94],"useful":[95],"understanding":[97],"effect":[100],"assessment.":[103]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-10-30T12:39:25.321706","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
