{"id":"https://openalex.org/W1969952035","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001399","title":"Using Routine Surveillance Data to Estimate the Epidemic Potential of Emerging Zoonoses: Application to the Emergence of US Swine Origin Influenza A H3N2v Virus","display_name":"Using Routine Surveillance Data to Estimate the Epidemic Potential of Emerging Zoonoses: Application to the Emergence of US Swine Origin Influenza A H3N2v Virus","publication_year":2013,"publication_date":"2013-03-05","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W1969952035","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001399","mag":"1969952035","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/23472057","pmcid":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/3589342"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1001399","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001399","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001399","pdf_url":"https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1001399&type=printable","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S197939330","display_name":"PLoS Medicine","issn_l":"1549-1277","issn":["1549-1277","1549-1676"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","doyens","jufo-3","ki-jl-3","medline","norway-2","oarl","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Medicine","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1001399&type=printable","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5008514010","display_name":"Simon Cauchemez","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9186-4549","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9186-4549"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I47508984","display_name":"Imperial College London","ror":"https://ror.org/041kmwe10","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I47508984"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Simon Cauchemez","raw_affiliation_strings":["MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom. s.cauchemez@imperial.ac.uk","MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom. s.cauchemez@imperial.ac.uk","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I47508984"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I47508984"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5083634166","display_name":"Scott Epperson","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1289490764","display_name":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention","ror":"https://ror.org/042twtr12","country_code":"US","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1289490764","https://openalex.org/I1299022934"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Scott Epperson","raw_affiliation_strings":["Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1289490764"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5061518977","display_name":"Matthew Biggerstaff","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5108-8311","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5108-8311"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1289490764","display_name":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention","ror":"https://ror.org/042twtr12","country_code":"US","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1289490764","https://openalex.org/I1299022934"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Matthew Biggerstaff","raw_affiliation_strings":["Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1289490764"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5083052414","display_name":"David L. Swerdlow","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1653-6646","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1653-6646"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1289490764","display_name":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention","ror":"https://ror.org/042twtr12","country_code":"US","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1289490764","https://openalex.org/I1299022934"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"David Swerdlow","raw_affiliation_strings":["Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1289490764"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5109911280","display_name":"Lyn Finelli","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1289490764","display_name":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention","ror":"https://ror.org/042twtr12","country_code":"US","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1289490764","https://openalex.org/I1299022934"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Lyn Finelli","raw_affiliation_strings":["Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1289490764"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5008407354","display_name":"Neil M. Ferguson","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1154-8093","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1154-8093"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I47508984","display_name":"Imperial College London","ror":"https://ror.org/041kmwe10","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I47508984"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Neil M. Ferguson","raw_affiliation_strings":["MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I47508984"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5008514010"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I47508984"],"apc_list":{"value":6460,"currency":"USD","value_usd":6460},"apc_paid":{"value":6460,"currency":"USD","value_usd":6460},"fwci":4.6126,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":48,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.94801392,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"10","issue":"3","first_page":"e1001399","last_page":"e1001399"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10167","display_name":"Influenza Virus Research Studies","score":0.7235999703407288,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2713","display_name":"Epidemiology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10167","display_name":"Influenza Virus Research Studies","score":0.7235999703407288,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2713","display_name":"Epidemiology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12492","display_name":"Zoonotic diseases and public health","score":0.14069999754428864,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2739","display_name":"Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10482","display_name":"Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models","score":0.06069999933242798,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2739","display_name":"Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/zoonoses","display_name":"zoonoses","score":0.7689999938011169},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/basic-reproduction-number","display_name":"basic reproduction number","score":0.6970000267028809},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/epidemic-potential","display_name":"epidemic potential","score":0.6190000176429749},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/nipah-virus","display_name":"Nipah virus","score":0.9539999961853027},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cholera","display_name":"cholera","score":0.9829999804496765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/routine-surveillance-data","display_name":"routine surveillance data","score":0.7689999938011169},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/selection-bias","display_name":"selection bias","score":0.7269999980926514},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/reservoir-hosts","display_name":"reservoir hosts","score":0.34700000286102295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/pandemic-risk-assessment","display_name":"pandemic risk assessment","score":0.6029999852180481},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/disease-transmission-modeling","display_name":"disease transmission modeling","score":0.39399999380111694}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C204264503","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q901464","display_name":"Basic reproduction number","level":3,"score":0.6078814268112183},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C116675565","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3241045","display_name":"Outbreak","level":2,"score":0.5960556864738464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C96250715","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q965330","display_name":"Estimation","level":2,"score":0.5797682404518127},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C16683452","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7834601","display_name":"Transmissibility (structural dynamics)","level":4,"score":0.529338002204895},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C164866538","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q367351","display_name":"Cluster (spacecraft)","level":2,"score":0.5006484985351562},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C761482","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q118093","display_name":"Transmission (telecommunications)","level":2,"score":0.4904164969921112},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C89623803","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12184","display_name":"Pandemic","level":5,"score":0.46631795167922974},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.44759589433670044},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776480101","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3555250","display_name":"Disease surveillance","level":3,"score":0.4357491135597229},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62558387","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q821775","display_name":"Epidemiological surveillance","level":3,"score":0.43250876665115356},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C99454951","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q932068","display_name":"Environmental health","level":1,"score":0.4148428440093994},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159047783","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7215","display_name":"Virology","level":1,"score":0.3933379054069519},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107130276","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q133805","display_name":"Epidemiology","level":2,"score":0.3378300368785858},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.3185921907424927},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779134260","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12136","display_name":"Disease","level":2,"score":0.31671735644340515},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.2909928858280182},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3008058167","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q84263196","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","level":4,"score":0.27770036458969116},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.26931118965148926},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C524204448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q788926","display_name":"Infectious disease (medical specialty)","level":3,"score":0.23101550340652466},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.21539363265037537},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76155785","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q418","display_name":"Telecommunications","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187736073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2920921","display_name":"Management","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C126322002","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11180","display_name":"Internal medicine","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142724271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7208","display_name":"Pathology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C45799244","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q109968206","display_name":"Vibration isolation","level":3,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C198394728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3695508","display_name":"Vibration","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[{"descriptor_ui":"D000818","descriptor_name":"Animals","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007251","descriptor_name":"Influenza, Human","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D007251","descriptor_name":"Influenza, Human","qualifier_ui":"Q000635","qualifier_name":"transmission","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007251","descriptor_name":"Influenza, Human","qualifier_ui":"Q000821","qualifier_name":"virology","is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D009976","descriptor_name":"Orthomyxoviridae Infections","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D009976","descriptor_name":"Orthomyxoviridae Infections","qualifier_ui":"Q000635","qualifier_name":"transmission","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D009976","descriptor_name":"Orthomyxoviridae Infections","qualifier_ui":"Q000821","qualifier_name":"virology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D011159","descriptor_name":"Population Surveillance","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D011336","descriptor_name":"Probability","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D013552","descriptor_name":"Swine","qualifier_ui":"Q000821","qualifier_name":"virology","is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D014481","descriptor_name":"United States","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015047","descriptor_name":"Zoonoses","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D015047","descriptor_name":"Zoonoses","qualifier_ui":"Q000635","qualifier_name":"transmission","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015983","descriptor_name":"Selection Bias","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D035501","descriptor_name":"Uncertainty","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D050936","descriptor_name":"Basic Reproduction Number","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D053122","descriptor_name":"Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype","qualifier_ui":"Q000502","qualifier_name":"physiology","is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D058872","descriptor_name":"Epidemics","qualifier_ui":"Q000706","qualifier_name":"statistics & numerical data","is_major_topic":true}],"locations_count":7,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1001399","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001399","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001399","pdf_url":"https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1001399&type=printable","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S197939330","display_name":"PLoS Medicine","issn_l":"1549-1277","issn":["1549-1277","1549-1676"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","doyens","jufo-3","ki-jl-3","medline","norway-2","oarl","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Medicine","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:europepmc.org:2590566","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/3589342","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400806","display_name":"Europe PMC (PubMed Central)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1303153112","host_organization_name":"European Bioinformatics Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1303153112"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:3589342","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/3589342","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764455111","display_name":"PubMed Central","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Med","raw_type":"Text"},{"id":"pmid:23472057","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/23472057","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLoS medicine","raw_type":"Journal Article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.774.4971","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.774.4971","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"ftp://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/f5/06/pmed.1001399.PMC3589342.pdf","raw_type":"text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:0da5198ee7c14d5f98c4cd1ffb119763","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/0da5198ee7c14d5f98c4cd1ffb119763","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Medicine, Vol 10, Iss 3, p e1001399 (2013)","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:figshare.com:article/644843","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://figshare.com/articles/dataset/Using_Routine_Surveillance_Data_to_Estimate_the_Epidemic_Potential_of_Emerging_Zoonoses_Application_to_the_Emergence_of_US_Swine_Origin_Influenza_A_H3N2v_Virus__/644843","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196282","display_name":"Figshare","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4210132348","host_organization_name":"Figshare (United Kingdom)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210132348"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"Dataset"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1001399","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001399","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001399","pdf_url":"https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1001399&type=printable","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S197939330","display_name":"PLoS Medicine","issn_l":"1549-1277","issn":["1549-1277","1549-1676"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","doaj","dongbi-b","doyens","jufo-3","ki-jl-3","medline","norway-2","oarl","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Medicine","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.9391000270843506,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3","display_name":"Good health and well-being"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1093531541","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"FP7/20072013","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334626","funder_display_name":"Medical Research Council"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1313656976","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"MR/K010174/1","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334626","funder_display_name":"Medical Research Council"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1821230694","display_name":"Preparedness, Prediction and Prevention of Emerging Zoonotic Viruses with Pandemic Potential using Multidisciplinary Approaches","funder_award_id":"278433","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320300","funder_display_name":"European Commission"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3207356259","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"2007\u20132013","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320300","funder_display_name":"European Commission"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G393177772","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"FP7 2007-2013","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320300","funder_display_name":"European Commission"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G5702163051","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"FP7/2007","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320300","funder_display_name":"European Commission"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306137","display_name":"Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation","ror":"https://ror.org/0456r8d26"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320300","display_name":"European Commission","ror":"https://ror.org/00k4n6c32"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334626","display_name":"Medical Research Council","ror":"https://ror.org/03x94j517"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320337354","display_name":"National Institute of General Medical Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/04q48ey07"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W1969952035.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W1969952035.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":29,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1501261568","https://openalex.org/W1559162995","https://openalex.org/W1986992441","https://openalex.org/W1987172805","https://openalex.org/W1991038167","https://openalex.org/W2022100172","https://openalex.org/W2022425329","https://openalex.org/W2069251911","https://openalex.org/W2070539966","https://openalex.org/W2081775418","https://openalex.org/W2094740420","https://openalex.org/W2095649426","https://openalex.org/W2100169057","https://openalex.org/W2105704721","https://openalex.org/W2121422073","https://openalex.org/W2147823402","https://openalex.org/W2169258494","https://openalex.org/W2169563372","https://openalex.org/W2312463092","https://openalex.org/W2396580515","https://openalex.org/W2415326893","https://openalex.org/W2518887247","https://openalex.org/W3152570319","https://openalex.org/W4299863841","https://openalex.org/W4300803799","https://openalex.org/W4300977911","https://openalex.org/W4301269490","https://openalex.org/W4301788370","https://openalex.org/W4301864068"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2055852148","https://openalex.org/W7098509685","https://openalex.org/W2039696702","https://openalex.org/W2046688025","https://openalex.org/W4409078325","https://openalex.org/W1996482566","https://openalex.org/W2950894639","https://openalex.org/W4417439255","https://openalex.org/W1978444032","https://openalex.org/W1982864557"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"BACKGROUND:":[0],"Prior":[1],"to":[2,18,121],"emergence":[3],"in":[4,14,26,131,136,147,179,269,282],"human":[5,15,44,56],"populations,":[6],"zoonoses":[7],"such":[8],"as":[9],"SARS":[10],"cause":[11],"occasional":[12],"infections":[13],"populations":[16],"exposed":[17],"reservoir":[19,165],"species.":[20],"The":[21],"risk":[22],"of":[23,39,55,88,103,125,174,185,192,248],"widespread":[24],"epidemics":[25],"humans":[27],"can":[28,203,210,229],"be":[29,204,211,231],"assessed":[30],"by":[31,42,162,206,213,252,258,276],"monitoring":[32],"the":[33,123,132,148,159,163,172,175,196,216,249,263,271,283,286],"reproduction":[34],"number":[35,38],"R":[36,50,202,209,228],"(average":[37],"persons":[40],"infected":[41,161],"a":[43,99,143,186,237],"case).":[45],"However,":[46],"until":[47],"now,":[48],"estimating":[49],"required":[51],"detailed":[52],"outbreak":[53],"investigations":[54],"clusters,":[57],"for":[58,73,262,285],"which":[59],"resources":[60],"and":[61,76,106,114,138,140,170],"expertise":[62],"are":[63],"not":[64,71,189],"always":[65],"available.":[66],"Additionally,":[67],"existing":[68],"methods":[69,84],"do":[70],"correct":[72],"important":[74,267],"selection":[75],"under-ascertainment":[77],"biases.":[78],"Here,":[79],"we":[80,199],"present":[81,142],"simple":[82,156,238],"estimation":[83],"that":[85,201,244],"overcome":[86],"many":[87],"these":[89],"limitations.":[90],"METHODS":[91],"AND":[92],"FINDINGS:":[93],"Our":[94],"approach":[95,239],"is":[96,152,220],"based":[97,153],"on":[98,154,227],"parsimonious":[100],"mathematical":[101],"model":[102],"disease":[104],"transmission":[105],"only":[107],"requires":[108],"data":[109,242],"collected":[110],"through":[111],"routine":[112],"surveillance":[113],"standard":[115],"case":[116,187,217],"investigations.":[117],"We":[118,234,255],"apply":[119],"it":[120],"assess":[122],"transmissibility":[124,260],"swine-origin":[126],"influenza":[127],"A":[128],"H3N2v-M":[129,264],"virus":[130,135],"US,":[133],"Nipah":[134],"Malaysia":[137],"Bangladesh,":[139],"also":[141],"non-zoonotic":[144],"example":[145],"(cholera":[146],"Dominican":[149],"Republic).":[150],"Estimation":[151],"two":[155],"summary":[157],"statistics,":[158],"proportion":[160],"natural":[164],"among":[166,171],"detected":[167,177],"cases":[168,178,194],"(G)":[169],"subset":[173],"first":[176],"each":[180],"cluster":[181],"(F).":[182],"If":[183],"detection":[184,191,218],"does":[188],"affect":[190],"other":[193],"from":[195],"same":[197],"cluster,":[198],"find":[200],"estimated":[205,212],"1-G;":[207],"otherwise":[208],"1-F":[214],"when":[215],"rate":[219],"low.":[221],"In":[222],"more":[223],"general":[224],"cases,":[225],"bounds":[226],"still":[230],"derived.":[232],"CONCLUSIONS:":[233],"have":[235],"developed":[236],"with":[240],"limited":[241],"requirements":[243],"enables":[245],"robust":[246],"assessment":[247],"risks":[250],"posed":[251,275],"emerging":[253],"zoonoses.":[254],"illustrate":[256],"this":[257,277],"deriving":[259],"estimates":[261],"virus,":[265],"an":[266],"step":[268],"evaluating":[270],"possible":[272],"pandemic":[273],"threat":[274],"virus.":[278],"Please":[279],"see":[280],"later":[281],"article":[284],"Editors'":[287],"Summary.":[288]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":7}],"updated_date":"2026-10-31T12:09:11.096373","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}