{"id":"https://openalex.org/W1969280338","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/1464935032000146309","title":"Forecasts and outcomes","display_name":"Forecasts and outcomes","publication_year":2003,"publication_date":"2003-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W1969280338","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/1464935032000146309","mag":"1969280338"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1080/1464935032000146309","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/1464935032000146309","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/1464935032000146309","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S132076093","display_name":"Planning Theory & Practice","issn_l":"1464-9357","issn":["1464-9357","1470-000X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-2","norway-1","poland-70","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319847","host_organization_name":"Routledge","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319847","https://openalex.org/P4310320547"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Routledge","Taylor & Francis"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Planning Theory & Practice","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5075653190","display_name":"Andrejs Skaburskis","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Andrejs Skaburskis","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5015274157","display_name":"Michael B. Teitz","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Michael B. Teitz","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":3.7281,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":12,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.93498818,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":94},"biblio":{"volume":"4","issue":"4","first_page":"429","last_page":"442"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10239","display_name":"Urban Planning and Governance","score":0.92330002784729,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3322","display_name":"Urban Studies"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10239","display_name":"Urban Planning and Governance","score":0.92330002784729,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3322","display_name":"Urban Studies"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.03629999980330467,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13765","display_name":"Social Science and Policy Research","score":0.004900000058114529,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3300","display_name":"General Social Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecasting","display_name":"forecasting","score":0.3610000014305115},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/social-change","display_name":"social change","score":0.703000009059906},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/urban-planning","display_name":"urban planning","score":0.7680000066757202},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/interest-groups","display_name":"interest groups","score":0.5450000166893005},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecasting-models","display_name":"forecasting models","score":0.7839999794960022},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/homeostasis","display_name":"homeostasis","score":0.7210000157356262},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/power-relations","display_name":"power relations","score":0.7910000085830688}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777003408","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5419252","display_name":"Exaggeration","level":2,"score":0.8793528079986572},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118084267","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q26110","display_name":"Positive economics","level":1,"score":0.4483034014701843},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163258240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25342","display_name":"Power (physics)","level":2,"score":0.4352802038192749},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.39310967922210693},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.37518566846847534},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.3411487340927124},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.2165503203868866},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118552586","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7867","display_name":"Psychiatry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1080/1464935032000146309","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1080/1464935032000146309","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/1464935032000146309","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S132076093","display_name":"Planning Theory & Practice","issn_l":"1464-9357","issn":["1464-9357","1470-000X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-class-a","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-2","norway-1","poland-70","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319847","host_organization_name":"Routledge","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319847","https://openalex.org/P4310320547"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Routledge","Taylor & Francis"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Planning Theory & Practice","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/11","score":0.8100000023841858,"display_name":"Sustainable cities and communities"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":19,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W636564232","https://openalex.org/W1893981799","https://openalex.org/W1972068433","https://openalex.org/W1974104621","https://openalex.org/W1978719116","https://openalex.org/W1999134179","https://openalex.org/W1999256740","https://openalex.org/W2001783052","https://openalex.org/W2006466114","https://openalex.org/W2057420847","https://openalex.org/W2077181191","https://openalex.org/W2093878443","https://openalex.org/W2111991601","https://openalex.org/W2130201879","https://openalex.org/W2166305935","https://openalex.org/W2169273898","https://openalex.org/W2313955126","https://openalex.org/W2891819328","https://openalex.org/W3102663523"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W232107053","https://openalex.org/W2110738851","https://openalex.org/W2004188906","https://openalex.org/W2029974150","https://openalex.org/W1498507328","https://openalex.org/W7096882991","https://openalex.org/W2076841711","https://openalex.org/W2081338995","https://openalex.org/W4389477377","https://openalex.org/W267808712"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,71,91],"forecasts":[1,14,42,83],"used":[2,77],"by":[3,94],"planners":[4],"often":[5,76],"overstate":[6,47],"the":[7,29,40,48,53,62,74,87,96,100],"outcomes":[8,50],"that":[9,21,31,65,102],"are":[10],"eventually":[11],"observed.":[12],"Many":[13],"prepared":[15],"for":[16,81],"planning":[17],"purposes":[18],"project":[19],"changes":[20,30,45],"turn":[22],"out":[23],"to":[24,86],"have":[25],"been":[26],"exaggerations":[27],"of":[28,39,43,55,61,73,89,99],"actually":[32],"take":[33],"place.":[34],"This":[35],"article":[36,92],"explores":[37],"some":[38,60,108],"reasons":[41],"social":[44],"may":[46,66,84],"eventual":[49],"and":[51,69,106,113],"considers":[52],"role":[54],"interests":[56],"as":[57,59,78],"well":[58],"technical":[63],"factors":[64],"encourage":[67],"exaggeration":[68],"overstatement.":[70],"nature":[72,98],"models":[75],"a":[79],"basis":[80],"preparing":[82],"lead":[85],"overstatements":[88],"impacts.":[90],"concludes":[93],"recognizing":[95],"homeostatic":[97],"forces":[101],"forge":[103],"city":[104],"structures":[105],"presents":[107],"implications":[109],"regarding":[110],"power":[111],"relations":[112],"ethics.":[114]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-10-16T09:59:22.235173","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}