{"id":"https://openalex.org/W1966023201","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3758/s13428-013-0342-1","title":"Comparing the accuracy of experimental estimates to guessing: a new perspective on replication and the \u201cCrisis of Confidence\u201d in psychology","display_name":"Comparing the accuracy of experimental estimates to guessing: a new perspective on replication and the \u201cCrisis of Confidence\u201d in psychology","publication_year":2013,"publication_date":"2013-05-09","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W1966023201","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3758/s13428-013-0342-1","mag":"1966023201","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/23661222"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.3758/s13428-013-0342-1","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3758/s13428-013-0342-1","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3758/s13428-013-0342-1","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S137478622","display_name":"Behavior Research Methods","issn_l":"1554-351X","issn":["1554-351X","1554-3528"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","erih-plus","jufo-2","ki-jl-2","medline","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Behavior Research Methods","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5021103186","display_name":"Clintin P. Davis\u2010Stober","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6836-6979","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6836-6979"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I76835614","display_name":"University of Missouri","ror":"https://ror.org/02ymw8z06","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I76835614"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Clintin P. Davis-Stober","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Psychological Sciences, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO, 65211, USA, stoberc@missouri.edu","Department of Psychological Sciences, University of Missouri, Columbia, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Psychological Sciences, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO, 65211, USA, stoberc@missouri.edu","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I76835614"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Psychological Sciences, University of Missouri, Columbia, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I76835614"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5061543470","display_name":"Jason D. Dana","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3558-5208","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3558-5208"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I79576946","display_name":"University of Pennsylvania","ror":"https://ror.org/00b30xv10","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I79576946"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jason Dana","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA","University of Pennsylvania,Philadelphia,USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I79576946"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Pennsylvania,Philadelphia,USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I79576946"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5021103186"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I76835614"],"apc_list":{"value":3990,"currency":"USD","value_usd":3990},"apc_paid":null,"fwci":5.5082,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":42,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.95720541,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"46","issue":"1","first_page":"1","last_page":"14"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10206","display_name":"Meta-analysis and systematic reviews","score":0.6269999742507935,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1804","display_name":"Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10206","display_name":"Meta-analysis and systematic reviews","score":0.6269999742507935,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1804","display_name":"Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10243","display_name":"Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference","score":0.16660000383853912,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2613","display_name":"Statistics and Probability"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10845","display_name":"Advanced Causal Inference Techniques","score":0.06289999932050705,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2613","display_name":"Statistics and Probability"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/estimation-accuracy","display_name":"estimation accuracy","score":0.9829999804496765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ordinary-least-squares-estimator","display_name":"ordinary least squares estimator","score":0.8799999952316284},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sample-size-calculation","display_name":"sample size determination","score":0.5419999957084656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/replication","display_name":"replication","score":0.7710000276565552},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/trust-crisis","display_name":"trust crisis","score":0.7519999742507935},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sample-mean","display_name":"sample mean","score":0.5519999861717224},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/experimental-psychology","display_name":"experimental psychology","score":0.3230000138282776}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185429906","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1130160","display_name":"Estimator","level":2,"score":0.8019381165504456},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12590798","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3933199","display_name":"Replication (statistics)","level":2,"score":0.7612699270248413},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C99656134","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2912993","display_name":"Ordinary least squares","level":2,"score":0.637252151966095},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C198531522","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q485146","display_name":"Sample (material)","level":2,"score":0.5896221995353699},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.5875710844993591},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780009758","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6804172","display_name":"Measure (data warehouse)","level":2,"score":0.5711292624473572},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185798385","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1161707","display_name":"Benchmark (surveying)","level":2,"score":0.5679284334182739},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5235906839370728},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C96250715","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q965330","display_name":"Estimation","level":2,"score":0.5177825689315796},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C129848803","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2564360","display_name":"Sample size determination","level":2,"score":0.4922141134738922},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12713177","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1900281","display_name":"Perspective (graphical)","level":2,"score":0.4749752879142761},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.4748407006263733},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18747219","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q620994","display_name":"Standard error","level":2,"score":0.41510677337646484},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.40973135828971863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.3463039994239807},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.3115704655647278},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.28252142667770386},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C58640448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q42515","display_name":"Cartography","level":1,"score":0.08256831765174866},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.08108842372894287},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185592680","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2329","display_name":"Chemistry","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C201995342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q682496","display_name":"Systems engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C43617362","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q170050","display_name":"Chromatography","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[{"descriptor_ui":"D000704","descriptor_name":"Analysis of Variance","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003627","descriptor_name":"Data Interpretation, Statistical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D011589","descriptor_name":"Psychology, Experimental","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D011589","descriptor_name":"Psychology, Experimental","qualifier_ui":"Q000592","qualifier_name":"standards","is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D012044","descriptor_name":"Regression Analysis","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012107","descriptor_name":"Research Design","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012984","descriptor_name":"Software","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D012985","descriptor_name":"Software Design","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015201","descriptor_name":"Meta-Analysis as Topic","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015203","descriptor_name":"Reproducibility of Results","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D016018","descriptor_name":"Least-Squares Analysis","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D018401","descriptor_name":"Sample Size","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D019985","descriptor_name":"Benchmarking","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":false}],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.3758/s13428-013-0342-1","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3758/s13428-013-0342-1","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3758/s13428-013-0342-1","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S137478622","display_name":"Behavior Research Methods","issn_l":"1554-351X","issn":["1554-351X","1554-3528"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-b","erih-plus","jufo-2","ki-jl-2","medline","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Behavior Research Methods","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:23661222","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/23661222","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Behavior research methods","raw_type":"Comparative Study"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":50,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W434887191","https://openalex.org/W1473813332","https://openalex.org/W1563984253","https://openalex.org/W1564129571","https://openalex.org/W1967573895","https://openalex.org/W1986038840","https://openalex.org/W1993266153","https://openalex.org/W2019912048","https://openalex.org/W2020769785","https://openalex.org/W2025822284","https://openalex.org/W2026814757","https://openalex.org/W2028912684","https://openalex.org/W2037124948","https://openalex.org/W2051921230","https://openalex.org/W2056418346","https://openalex.org/W2059372149","https://openalex.org/W2074813973","https://openalex.org/W2074861735","https://openalex.org/W2075046656","https://openalex.org/W2077459813","https://openalex.org/W2079045648","https://openalex.org/W2100267603","https://openalex.org/W2107031757","https://openalex.org/W2118699776","https://openalex.org/W2122759946","https://openalex.org/W2123793338","https://openalex.org/W2136147133","https://openalex.org/W2144981148","https://openalex.org/W2150215887","https://openalex.org/W2152976633","https://openalex.org/W2155449866","https://openalex.org/W2159116815","https://openalex.org/W2161498332","https://openalex.org/W2165491813","https://openalex.org/W2165744193","https://openalex.org/W2319788879","https://openalex.org/W2321542133","https://openalex.org/W2327560351","https://openalex.org/W2331384579","https://openalex.org/W2582743722","https://openalex.org/W2798157462","https://openalex.org/W3124333825","https://openalex.org/W3146425672","https://openalex.org/W4214894679","https://openalex.org/W4234452031","https://openalex.org/W4234528037","https://openalex.org/W4256170606","https://openalex.org/W4300870773","https://openalex.org/W4301459447","https://openalex.org/W6678487634"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7098465965","https://openalex.org/W2902797234","https://openalex.org/W6924928647","https://openalex.org/W2915081097","https://openalex.org/W2182177597","https://openalex.org/W2618553281","https://openalex.org/W7097164522","https://openalex.org/W3124456583","https://openalex.org/W4235206961","https://openalex.org/W7160366593"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":4}],"updated_date":"2026-10-31T12:09:11.096373","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}