{"id":"https://openalex.org/W1900381069","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1212/wnl.82.10_supplement.p3.197","title":"Validation of a Simple Model for Prediction of Disease Duration in Persons Presenting with Alzheimer Disease: \u201c Tell Me Doc, How Long Do I Have?\u201d (P3.197)","display_name":"Validation of a Simple Model for Prediction of Disease Duration in Persons Presenting with Alzheimer Disease: \u201c Tell Me Doc, How Long Do I Have?\u201d (P3.197)","publication_year":2014,"publication_date":"2014-04-08","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W1900381069","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1212/wnl.82.10_supplement.p3.197","mag":"1900381069"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1212/wnl.82.10_supplement.p3.197","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1212/wnl.82.10_supplement.p3.197","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1212/wnl.82.10_supplement.p3.197","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S79704628","display_name":"Neurology","issn_l":"0028-3878","issn":["0028-3878","1526-632X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-a","doyens","jufo-3","ki-jl-2","medline","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315671","host_organization_name":"Lippincott Williams & Wilkins","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315671","https://openalex.org/P4310318547"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Lippincott Williams & Wilkins","Wolters Kluwer"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Neurology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5103683253","display_name":"Ashleigh Long","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0190-6707","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0190-6707"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I143302722","display_name":"University of Kentucky","ror":"https://ror.org/02k3smh20","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I143302722"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ashleigh Long","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Kentucky Lexington KY United States","2UNIVERSITY OF KENTUCKY Lexington KY United States"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Kentucky Lexington KY United States","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I143302722"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"2UNIVERSITY OF KENTUCKY Lexington KY United States","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I143302722"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5081688346","display_name":"Richard J. Kryscio","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2775-1184","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2775-1184"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Richard Kryscio","raw_affiliation_strings":["Lexington KY United States","1Lexington KY United States"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Lexington KY United States","institution_ids":[]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"1Lexington KY United States","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5009032548","display_name":"Gregory A. Jicha","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7980-2166","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7980-2166"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I143302722","display_name":"University of Kentucky","ror":"https://ror.org/02k3smh20","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I143302722"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Gregory Jicha","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Kentucky College of Medicine Lexington KY United States","3University of Kentucky College of Medicine Lexington KY United States"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Kentucky College of Medicine Lexington KY United States","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I143302722"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"3University of Kentucky College of Medicine Lexington KY United States","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I143302722"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.09130644,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"82","issue":"10_supplement","first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10009","display_name":"Dementia and Cognitive Impairment Research","score":0.9984999895095825,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2738","display_name":"Psychiatry and Mental health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10009","display_name":"Dementia and Cognitive Impairment Research","score":0.9984999895095825,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2738","display_name":"Psychiatry and Mental health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10086","display_name":"Alzheimer's disease research and treatments","score":0.0007999999797903001,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2737","display_name":"Physiology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10177","display_name":"Palliative Care and End-of-Life Issues","score":9.999999747378752e-05,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2739","display_name":"Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/alzheimer-s-disease","display_name":"Alzheimer's disease","score":0.9350000023841858},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/disease-duration","display_name":"disease duration","score":0.7670000195503235},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/survival-prediction","display_name":"survival prediction","score":0.9089999794960022},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-model-validation","display_name":"risk model validation","score":0.7630000114440918},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-score","display_name":"risk score","score":0.7429999709129333},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/age-at-diagnosis","display_name":"age at diagnosis","score":0.8220000267028809},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/gender-differences","display_name":"gender differences","score":0.7170000076293945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mini-mental-state-examination","display_name":"Mini-Mental State Examination","score":0.6620000004768372},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/prognostic-factors","display_name":"prognostic factors","score":0.6610000133514404},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/long-term-care-planning","display_name":"long-term care planning","score":0.9269999861717224}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779134260","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12136","display_name":"Disease","level":2,"score":0.6620250940322876},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112758219","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q16038819","display_name":"Duration (music)","level":2,"score":0.6298753023147583},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.5422168970108032},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C74909509","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10387","display_name":"Gerontology","level":1,"score":0.4256143271923065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C126322002","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11180","display_name":"Internal medicine","level":1,"score":0.1907387375831604},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142362112","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q735","display_name":"Art","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124952713","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8242","display_name":"Literature","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1212/wnl.82.10_supplement.p3.197","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1212/wnl.82.10_supplement.p3.197","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1212/wnl.82.10_supplement.p3.197","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S79704628","display_name":"Neurology","issn_l":"0028-3878","issn":["0028-3878","1526-632X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-a","doyens","jufo-3","ki-jl-2","medline","norway-2","poland-140","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315671","host_organization_name":"Lippincott Williams & Wilkins","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315671","https://openalex.org/P4310318547"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Lippincott Williams & Wilkins","Wolters Kluwer"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Neurology","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Good health and well-being","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3","score":0.98580002784729}],"sustainable_development_goals_aurora":[],"study_designs":[{"display_name":"Observational Study","id":"https://openalex.org/study-designs/observational-study"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2748952813","https://openalex.org/W3031052312","https://openalex.org/W4389568370","https://openalex.org/W3032375762","https://openalex.org/W1995515455","https://openalex.org/W2080531066","https://openalex.org/W2586801360","https://openalex.org/W3108674512","https://openalex.org/W1506200166","https://openalex.org/W1489783725"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"OBJECTIVE:":[0],"Risk":[1,165],"model":[2,23,52,186,258,279],"validation":[3],"for":[4,24,41,79,237,247,259,266],"predicting":[5],"survival":[6,143,234,263],"time":[7,267],"from":[8,106,204,220,268],"diagnosis":[9,270,296],"in":[10,29,82,264],"persons":[11,30],"with":[12,32,37,44,199,250],"Alzheimer\u2019s":[13,251,265,298],"disease":[14,27,80,134,201,231],"(AD).":[15],"BACKGROUND:":[16],"We":[17],"previously":[18],"presented":[19],"a":[20,91],"simple":[21,257],"risk":[22,92,160,184,198,278],"prediction":[25,261],"of":[26,50,88,133,142,148,182,194,230,242,255,262,291,297],"duration":[28,81,202,232],"diagnosed":[31],"AD":[33],"designed":[34],"to":[35,55,75,116,206,214,271,283,289],"assist":[36],"appropriate":[38],"future":[39,238],"planning":[40,239],"those":[42,248],"affected":[43],"this":[45,51,119,183,256,274],"uniformly":[46],"fatal":[47],"disease.":[48,252],"Validation":[49],"is":[53,235,280],"essential":[54],"prove":[56],"its":[57],"generalizability":[58],"and":[59,64,99,109,131,223,233,240],"utility":[60],"across":[61],"disparate":[62],"populations":[63],"geographic":[65],"regions.":[66],"DESIGN/METHODS:":[67],"Stepwise":[68],"Cox":[69],"proportional":[70],"hazards":[71],"models":[72],"were":[73,114],"used":[74,115],"assess":[76],"predictor":[77,152],"variables":[78],"1,265":[83],"subjects":[84,195],"at":[85,101,129,136],"the":[86,139,158,260,285,295],"University":[87,108,113,222],"Kentucky,":[89],"providing":[90],"score":[93,161,166,185],"calculation":[94,162],"based":[95],"on":[96],"age,":[97],"gender,":[98,127],"MMSE":[100],"initial":[102],"presentation.":[103],"Independent":[104],"datasets":[105,219],"Washington":[107,221],"Oregon":[110,224],"Health":[111,225],"Sciences":[112,226],"further":[117,215],"validate":[118,216],"model.":[120],"RESULTS:":[121],"Our":[122,277],"previous":[123],"analyses":[124],"demonstrated":[125],"that":[126,209],"age":[128],"diagnosis,":[130],"severity":[132],"(MMSE":[135],"diagnosis)":[137],"are":[138],"best":[140],"predictors":[141,157],"when":[144,293],"considered":[145],"independently,":[146],"irrespective":[147],"all":[149],"other":[150],"significant":[151],"variables.":[153],"Using":[154],"these":[155],"three":[156],"following":[159],"was":[163,187],"generated:":[164],"=":[167],"0.04934":[168],"x":[169,174,179],"Age":[170],"Dx":[171],"+":[172],"0.31377":[173],"Male":[175],"Gender":[176],"-":[177],"0.04761":[178],"MMSE.":[180],"Application":[181],"analyzed":[188],"using":[189,217],"Kaplan-Meier":[190],"curves":[191],"allowing":[192],"stratification":[193],"by":[196],"quartile":[197],"median":[200],"ranging":[203],"2.9":[205],"6.8":[207],"years,":[208],"we":[210],"have":[211],"been":[212],"able":[213],"independent":[218],"University.":[227],"CONCLUSIONS:":[228],"Prediction":[229],"critical":[236],"implementation":[241],"long-term":[243],"care":[244],"management":[245],"strategies":[246],"afflicted":[249],"The":[253],"development":[254],"first":[269],"death":[272],"required":[273],"prospective":[275],"validation.":[276],"now":[281],"poised":[282],"answer":[284],"ultimate":[286],"question":[287],"posed":[288],"each":[290],"us":[292],"making":[294],"disease,":[299],"\u201c":[300],"Tell":[301],"me":[302],"Doc,":[303],"how":[304],"long":[305],"do":[306],"I":[307],"have?\u201d.":[308]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-10-16T09:59:22.235173","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
