{"id":"https://openalex.org/W184433223","doi":null,"title":"DR7a: Changes in ecosystem services and migration in low-lying coastal areas over the next 50 years","display_name":"DR7a: Changes in ecosystem services and migration in low-lying coastal areas over the next 50 years","publication_year":2011,"publication_date":"2011-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W184433223","mag":"184433223"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu:iss_pub-1032","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/iss_pub/33","pdf_url":"https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1032&context=iss_pub","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196300","display_name":"PDXScholar  (Portland State University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I126345244","host_organization_name":"Portland State University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I126345244"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Institute for Sustainable Solutions Publications and Presentations","raw_type":"text"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1032&context=iss_pub","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5091724650","display_name":"Robert Costanza","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6348-8734","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6348-8734"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I126345244","display_name":"Portland State University","ror":"https://ror.org/00yn2fy02","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I126345244"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Robert Costanza","raw_affiliation_strings":["PORTLAND STATE UNIVERSITY,"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6348-8734","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"PORTLAND STATE UNIVERSITY,","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I126345244"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5051248828","display_name":"Ida Kubiszewski A","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3264-7899","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3264-7899","https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9559-7043"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ida Kubiszewski","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3264-7899","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5037269831","display_name":"Joe Roman","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6515-4623","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6515-4623"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Joe Roman","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6515-4623","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5017913101","display_name":"Paul C. Sutton","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6972-3256","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6972-3256"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I131651094","display_name":"University of Denver","ror":"https://ror.org/04w7skc03","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I131651094"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Paul C. Sutton","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Denver, "],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6972-3256","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Denver, ","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I131651094"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.5938,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":8,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.71153624,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":95},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10226","display_name":"Land Use and Ecosystem Services","score":0.47290000319480896,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10226","display_name":"Land Use and Ecosystem Services","score":0.47290000319480896,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12656","display_name":"Climate Change, Adaptation, Migration","score":0.4611999988555908,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10779","display_name":"Coastal wetland ecosystem dynamics","score":0.03319999948143959,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2303","display_name":"Ecology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ecosystem-services","display_name":"ecosystem services","score":0.9070000052452087},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/low-lying-coastal-areas","display_name":"low-lying coastal areas","score":0.9430000185966492},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/human-migration","display_name":"human migration","score":0.6729999780654907},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-change-impacts","display_name":"climate change impacts","score":0.781000018119812},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sres-scenarios","display_name":"SRES scenarios","score":0.7960000038146973},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/coastal-ecosystems","display_name":"coastal ecosystems","score":0.6200000047683716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mangroves","display_name":"mangroves","score":0.5059999823570251},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wetlands","display_name":"wetlands","score":0.9079999923706055},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/natural-infrastructure","display_name":"natural infrastructure","score":0.5659999847412109},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/migration-vulnerability","display_name":"migration vulnerability","score":0.5059999823570251},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/coastal-habitat-restoration","display_name":"coastal habitat restoration","score":0.6919999718666077},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/quality-of-life","display_name":"quality of life","score":0.7739999890327454},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/millennium-ecosystem-assessment","display_name":"Millennium Ecosystem Assessment","score":0.9089999794960022},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/storm-activity","display_name":"storm activity","score":0.5210000276565552}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C58941895","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q295865","display_name":"Ecosystem services","level":3,"score":0.9228943586349487},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153274386","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q575913","display_name":"Kelp forest","level":3,"score":0.794488787651062},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C110872660","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37813","display_name":"Ecosystem","level":2,"score":0.7429391145706177},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C172191483","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071806","display_name":"Provisioning","level":2,"score":0.694023847579956},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C110269972","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q184872","display_name":"Recreation","level":2,"score":0.6473842859268188},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107826830","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q929380","display_name":"Environmental resource management","level":1,"score":0.4796450734138489},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185933670","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52105","display_name":"Habitat","level":2,"score":0.4278336763381958},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.4008627235889435},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.39721524715423584},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.3598664402961731},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.3172568678855896},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.08489787578582764},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76155785","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q418","display_name":"Telecommunications","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu:iss_pub-1032","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/iss_pub/33","pdf_url":"https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1032&context=iss_pub","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196300","display_name":"PDXScholar  (Portland State University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I126345244","host_organization_name":"Portland State University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I126345244"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Institute for Sustainable Solutions Publications and Presentations","raw_type":"text"},{"id":"mag:184433223","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.uvm.edu/giee/pubpdfs/Costanza_2011_Migration_and_Global_Environmental_Change.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2358700","display_name":"foresight","issn_l":"1463-6689","issn":["1463-6689","1465-9832"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["abdc-c","anvur-scientific","cwts-core","dongbi-c","jufo-1","norway-1","poland-40","russia-white-list-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319811","host_organization_name":"Emerald Publishing Limited","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319811"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Emerald Publishing Limited"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"foresight","raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu:iss_pub-1032","doi":null,"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/iss_pub/33","pdf_url":"https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1032&context=iss_pub","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196300","display_name":"PDXScholar  (Portland State University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I126345244","host_organization_name":"Portland State University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I126345244"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Institute for Sustainable Solutions Publications and Presentations","raw_type":"text"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Climate action","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","score":0.9786999821662903},{"display_name":"Life on land","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/15","score":0.7605999708175659}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320314707","display_name":"Government of the United Kingdom","ror":"https://ror.org/05wnh3t63"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W184433223.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W184433223.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":111,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W48058959","https://openalex.org/W56584228","https://openalex.org/W68769288","https://openalex.org/W97693064","https://openalex.org/W122975486","https://openalex.org/W152349080","https://openalex.org/W181685729","https://openalex.org/W225836899","https://openalex.org/W305438943","https://openalex.org/W603119281","https://openalex.org/W949117138","https://openalex.org/W1495721745","https://openalex.org/W1505961576","https://openalex.org/W1514345118","https://openalex.org/W1528734101","https://openalex.org/W1529900395","https://openalex.org/W1530529744","https://openalex.org/W1534256223","https://openalex.org/W1534856966","https://openalex.org/W1537781770","https://openalex.org/W1564572484","https://openalex.org/W1583236300","https://openalex.org/W1583276246","https://openalex.org/W1611859173","https://openalex.org/W1870726133","https://openalex.org/W1915334364","https://openalex.org/W1971048734","https://openalex.org/W1971638325","https://openalex.org/W1975456074","https://openalex.org/W1975524412","https://openalex.org/W1988558671","https://openalex.org/W1988610465","https://openalex.org/W1991134979","https://openalex.org/W2003602259","https://openalex.org/W2004881712","https://openalex.org/W2005666854","https://openalex.org/W2006158943","https://openalex.org/W2010443920","https://openalex.org/W2016495583","https://openalex.org/W2016532953","https://openalex.org/W2017947281","https://openalex.org/W2030327711","https://openalex.org/W2039525507","https://openalex.org/W2041516132","https://openalex.org/W2049719917","https://openalex.org/W2056595342","https://openalex.org/W2060299363","https://openalex.org/W2065696112","https://openalex.org/W2067703073","https://openalex.org/W2074595024","https://openalex.org/W2074770466","https://openalex.org/W2076977109","https://openalex.org/W2078909427","https://openalex.org/W2083521896","https://openalex.org/W2084156540","https://openalex.org/W2089591395","https://openalex.org/W2095822147","https://openalex.org/W2097114551","https://openalex.org/W2104768356","https://openalex.org/W2104896490","https://openalex.org/W2106609559","https://openalex.org/W2107082646","https://openalex.org/W2108173127","https://openalex.org/W2110924380","https://openalex.org/W2112323323","https://openalex.org/W2119179877","https://openalex.org/W2120136586","https://openalex.org/W2123733695","https://openalex.org/W2124372040","https://openalex.org/W2125594613","https://openalex.org/W2127932314","https://openalex.org/W2129974232","https://openalex.org/W2137372170","https://openalex.org/W2138315818","https://openalex.org/W2140213892","https://openalex.org/W2142598180","https://openalex.org/W2147807123","https://openalex.org/W2148881263","https://openalex.org/W2150248177","https://openalex.org/W2150258239","https://openalex.org/W2152413449","https://openalex.org/W2152856539","https://openalex.org/W2156709416","https://openalex.org/W2156821022","https://openalex.org/W2162512820","https://openalex.org/W2163833213","https://openalex.org/W2164764067","https://openalex.org/W2166381556","https://openalex.org/W2167340571","https://openalex.org/W2176202906","https://openalex.org/W2178422341","https://openalex.org/W2180721412","https://openalex.org/W2187312300","https://openalex.org/W2203978301","https://openalex.org/W2204416217","https://openalex.org/W2242398485","https://openalex.org/W2253553783","https://openalex.org/W2399755042","https://openalex.org/W2494998389","https://openalex.org/W2497709618","https://openalex.org/W2613401496","https://openalex.org/W2737307742","https://openalex.org/W2746485780","https://openalex.org/W2764433274","https://openalex.org/W2790056638","https://openalex.org/W2797220521","https://openalex.org/W3023882592","https://openalex.org/W3105033209","https://openalex.org/W3170999623","https://openalex.org/W3203774158","https://openalex.org/W3215827189"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4318619983","https://openalex.org/W3161701168","https://openalex.org/W4308100436","https://openalex.org/W4402919397","https://openalex.org/W4411280531","https://openalex.org/W141421731","https://openalex.org/W2138451262","https://openalex.org/W4285206431","https://openalex.org/W2754451323","https://openalex.org/W7043919127"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0,159,377],"paper":[1],"examines":[2],"the":[3,27,45,88,96,119,132,137,146,164,176,195,199,213,219,233,247,263,269,328,348,357,410,428,436],"history":[4],"and":[5,23,26,47,74,80,111,136,153,175,227,258,289,308,315,373,381,387,401,416,431],"current":[6],"status":[7,46],"of":[8,20,30,42,49,72,90,145,163,167,206,283,285,300,305,332,335,366,390,413],"ecosystem":[9,50,73,85,110,112,171,181,209,254,286,344,385,420],"services":[10,51,113,172,182,255,287,345,386],"in":[11,52,78,84,115,173,180,327,337,347,356],"low-lying":[12],"coastal":[13,296,375,384],"areas":[14],"(LLCAs),":[15],"their":[16,243],"potential":[17,28,92,177,228],"changes":[18,32,77,83,93,179],"because":[19,282,331],"wider":[21],"environmental":[22,67,319],"social":[24],"shifts,":[25],"impacts":[29,89],"these":[31,91,216],"on":[33,44,95,118,124,198,419],"human":[34,75,185,225,388,414],"migration.":[35,186,230],"We":[36,69],"synthesised":[37],"information":[38,55],"from":[39],"a":[40,251,338],"number":[41,270],"sources":[43],"value":[48],"LLCAs,":[53],"including":[54,302],"about":[56,170],"key":[57],"ecosystems":[58,192],"that":[59],"are":[60,149,193,218,404],"likely":[61],"to":[62,66,131,183,241,246,249,280,318,362,371,379,396,407,434],"be":[63],"particularly":[64],"vulnerable":[65],"change.":[68],"created":[70],"maps":[71],"population":[76,323],"LLCAs":[79,174],"then":[81],"estimated":[82],"services.":[86,210,421],"Estimating":[87],"depends":[94],"future":[97,109,168,438],"scenario":[98],"one":[99,266],"assumes.":[100],"For":[101],"our":[102],"analysis":[103],"four":[104,120],"scenarios":[105,127,148,330,352],"were":[106,239],"developed":[107],"for":[108,178,295],"conditions":[114],"2060,":[116],"based":[117],"SRES":[121,147,351,359],"(Special":[122],"Report":[123],"Emissions":[125],"Scenarios)":[126],"with":[128,393],"additional":[129],"reference":[130],"Millennium":[133],"Ecosystem":[134],"Assessment":[135],"Great":[138],"Transition":[139],"Initiative":[140],"scenarios.":[141,439],"The":[142],"two":[143],"axes":[144],"global":[150,208],"vs.":[151,156],"regional":[152],"material":[154,349],"economy":[155],"environment":[157],"foci.":[158],"allowed":[160],"an":[161],"assessment":[162],"plausible":[165],"range":[166],"uncertainty":[169],"drive":[184],"Major":[187],"findings":[188],"include:":[189],"?":[190,211,231,261,292,321,342],"Coastal":[191,343],"among":[194],"most":[196,220],"productive":[197],"planet.":[200],"They":[201],"provide":[202],"more":[203,339,382],"than":[204],"70%":[205],"total":[207],"At":[212],"same":[214],"time,":[215],"systems":[217],"threatened":[221],"by":[222],"climate":[223],"change,":[224],"settlement":[226],"coastward":[229],"In":[232,262],"mid-1990s,":[234],"approximately":[235],"25":[236],"million":[237,273],"people":[238,274],"forced":[240],"leave":[242],"homelands":[244],"owing":[245],"inability":[248],"secure":[250],"livelihood":[252],"as":[253],"declined":[256],"(Myers":[257,288],"Kent,":[259,290],"2009).":[260,291],"coming":[264],"decades,":[265],"estimate":[267],"puts":[268],"at":[271],"240?525":[272],"globally":[275],"who":[276],"may":[277],"feel":[278],"impelled":[279],"migrate":[281],"loss":[284],"Risk":[293],"factors":[294],"populations":[297],"include":[298],"over-exploitation":[299],"resources,":[301],"fisheries;":[303],"destruction":[304],"mangroves,":[306],"wetlands,":[307],"other":[309],"natural":[310],"infrastructure;":[311],"increased":[312,333],"storm":[313],"activity;":[314],"reduced":[316],"resilience":[317],"perturbations.":[320],"Coastward":[322],"migration":[324,336,397,415],"is":[325],"largest":[326],"globalised":[329,340],"ease":[334],"world.":[341],"decline":[346],"economy-focused":[350],"but":[353],"potentially":[354],"increase":[355],"environment-focused":[358],"scenarios,":[360],"leading":[361],"higher":[363,380],"overall":[364],"quality":[365,389],"life.":[367],"Policies":[368],"should":[369],"aim":[370],"preserve":[372],"restore":[374],"habitats.":[376],"leads":[378],"stable":[383],"life,":[391],"along":[392],"lower":[394],"vulnerability":[395],"pressures.":[398],"Additional":[399],"research":[400],"integrated":[402],"modelling":[403],"needed,":[405],"however,":[406],"better":[408],"understand":[409],"spatial":[411],"dynamics":[412],"its":[417],"dependence":[418],"Such":[422],"models":[423],"could":[424],"also":[425],"help":[426],"illuminate":[427],"transition":[429],"pathways":[430],"policies":[432],"necessary":[433],"achieve":[435],"preferred":[437]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
