{"id":"https://openalex.org/W1600513530","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2516","title":"Seasonal forecasting of tropical storms using the Met Office GloSea5 seasonal forecast system","display_name":"Seasonal forecasting of tropical storms using the Met Office GloSea5 seasonal forecast system","publication_year":2015,"publication_date":"2015-01-16","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W1600513530","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2516","mag":"1600513530"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1002/qj.2516","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2516","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2516","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S70522100","display_name":"Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society","issn_l":"0035-9009","issn":["0035-9009","1477-870X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-2","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society","raw_type":"journal-article"},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"hybrid","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2516","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5081118992","display_name":"Joanne Camp","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4567-9622","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4567-9622"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1293035123","display_name":"Met Office","ror":"https://ror.org/01ch2yn61","country_code":"GB","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"J. Camp","raw_affiliation_strings":["Met Office, Hadley Centre Exeter UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Met Office, Hadley Centre Exeter UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5008188167","display_name":"Malcolm John Roberts","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6128-6979","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6128-6979"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1293035123","display_name":"Met Office","ror":"https://ror.org/01ch2yn61","country_code":"GB","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"M. Roberts","raw_affiliation_strings":["Met Office, Hadley Centre Exeter UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Met Office, Hadley Centre Exeter UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5053405005","display_name":"Craig MacLachlan","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9151-9152","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9151-9152"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1293035123","display_name":"Met Office","ror":"https://ror.org/01ch2yn61","country_code":"GB","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"C. MacLachlan","raw_affiliation_strings":["Met Office, Hadley Centre Exeter UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Met Office, Hadley Centre Exeter UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5045948589","display_name":"Emily Wallace","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0007-9542-8702","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0007-9542-8702"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1293035123","display_name":"Met Office","ror":"https://ror.org/01ch2yn61","country_code":"GB","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"E. Wallace","raw_affiliation_strings":["Met Office, Hadley Centre Exeter UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Met Office, Hadley Centre Exeter UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5072798226","display_name":"Leon Hermanson","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1062-6731","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1062-6731"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1293035123","display_name":"Met Office","ror":"https://ror.org/01ch2yn61","country_code":"GB","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"L. Hermanson","raw_affiliation_strings":["Met Office, Hadley Centre Exeter UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Met Office, Hadley Centre Exeter UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5031321549","display_name":"Anca Brookshaw","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1293035123","display_name":"Met Office","ror":"https://ror.org/01ch2yn61","country_code":"GB","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"A. Brookshaw","raw_affiliation_strings":["Met Office, Hadley Centre Exeter UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Met Office, Hadley Centre Exeter UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5048317461","display_name":"Alberto Arribas","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7787-2726","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7787-2726"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1293035123","display_name":"Met Office","ror":"https://ror.org/01ch2yn61","country_code":"GB","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"A. Arribas","raw_affiliation_strings":["Met Office, Hadley Centre Exeter UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Met Office, Hadley Centre Exeter UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5081992122","display_name":"Adam A. Scaife","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5189-7538","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5189-7538"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1293035123","display_name":"Met Office","ror":"https://ror.org/01ch2yn61","country_code":"GB","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"A. A. Scaife","raw_affiliation_strings":["Met Office, Hadley Centre Exeter UK"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Met Office, Hadley Centre Exeter UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5081118992"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1293035123"],"apc_list":{"value":4320,"currency":"USD","value_usd":4320},"apc_paid":{"value":4320,"currency":"USD","value_usd":4320},"fwci":8.2993,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":116,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.98129868,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":96,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"141","issue":"691","first_page":"2206","last_page":"2219"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11483","display_name":"Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research","score":0.7666000127792358,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11483","display_name":"Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research","score":0.7666000127792358,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10029","display_name":"Climate variability and models","score":0.21060000360012054,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10466","display_name":"Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations","score":0.01679999940097332,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1902","display_name":"Atmospheric Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/tropical-storms","display_name":"tropical storms","score":0.921999990940094},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/seasonal-forecasting","display_name":"seasonal forecasting","score":0.9580000042915344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/glosea5","display_name":"GloSea5","score":0.9959999918937683},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/el-nino-southern-oscillation","display_name":"ENSO","score":0.6940000057220459},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/tropical-cyclone-landfall","display_name":"tropical cyclone landfall","score":0.6290000081062317},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/accumulated-cyclone-energy","display_name":"accumulated cyclone energy","score":0.8849999904632568},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forecast-skill","display_name":"forecast skill","score":0.6190000176429749},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/tropical-cyclone-climatology","display_name":"tropical cyclone climatology","score":0.597000002861023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/north-atlantic","display_name":"North Atlantic","score":0.6729999780654907},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/western-pacific","display_name":"western Pacific","score":0.9279999732971191},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/caribbean","display_name":"Caribbean","score":0.5479999780654907},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/interannual-variability","display_name":"interannual variability","score":0.6039999723434448}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49204034","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52139","display_name":"Climatology","level":1,"score":0.8351106643676758},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C29141058","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8092","display_name":"Tropical cyclone","level":2,"score":0.720573365688324},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105306849","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q81054","display_name":"Storm","level":2,"score":0.6511083841323853},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.6341725587844849},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C83002819","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q798528","display_name":"Hindcast","level":2,"score":0.5596416592597961},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C35647692","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2547976","display_name":"Atlantic hurricane","level":3,"score":0.5541090369224548},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C197640229","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2534066","display_name":"Predictability","level":2,"score":0.5437447428703308},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C122523270","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q34027","display_name":"Latitude","level":2,"score":0.49434995651245117},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780554747","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36477","display_name":"Longitude","level":3,"score":0.48470234870910645},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163379243","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2551132","display_name":"Landfall","level":3,"score":0.4702669084072113},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11472968","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q16824724","display_name":"Tropical cyclone rainfall forecasting","level":4,"score":0.4633885324001312},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778835443","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39061","display_name":"Northern Hemisphere","level":2,"score":0.44591760635375977},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777351977","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4579588","display_name":"Storm track","level":3,"score":0.4171912670135498},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.3031361699104309},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777864850","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q79598","display_name":"Cyclone (programming language)","level":3,"score":0.2727925479412079},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.2503022253513336},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.19985294342041016},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42935608","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q190411","display_name":"Field-programmable gate array","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13280743","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q131089","display_name":"Geodesy","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C9390403","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3966","display_name":"Computer hardware","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1002/qj.2516","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2516","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2516","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S70522100","display_name":"Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society","issn_l":"0035-9009","issn":["0035-9009","1477-870X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-2","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1002/qj.2516","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2516","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2516","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S70522100","display_name":"Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society","issn_l":"0035-9009","issn":["0035-9009","1477-870X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","dongbi-b","jufo-2","norway-2","poland-200","russia-white-list-1","vabb-shw"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.9786999821662903,"display_name":"Climate action","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G7136629702","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"jwcrp01003","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334631","funder_display_name":"Natural Environment Research Council"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320319995","display_name":"Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, UK Government","ror":"https://ror.org/00tnppw48"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332181","display_name":"National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration","ror":"https://ror.org/02z5nhe81"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334631","display_name":"Natural Environment Research Council","ror":"https://ror.org/02b5d8509"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":80,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1480551390","https://openalex.org/W1487084387","https://openalex.org/W1506975001","https://openalex.org/W1563112125","https://openalex.org/W1656194751","https://openalex.org/W1973273409","https://openalex.org/W1977151804","https://openalex.org/W1982592840","https://openalex.org/W1983357036","https://openalex.org/W1984835387","https://openalex.org/W1987398183","https://openalex.org/W1989873190","https://openalex.org/W1990743832","https://openalex.org/W1995387741","https://openalex.org/W1995618165","https://openalex.org/W1998099504","https://openalex.org/W2005960251","https://openalex.org/W2009636177","https://openalex.org/W2011301426","https://openalex.org/W2013731492","https://openalex.org/W2027158583","https://openalex.org/W2027686260","https://openalex.org/W2028247729","https://openalex.org/W2037277120","https://openalex.org/W2037396598","https://openalex.org/W2038219555","https://openalex.org/W2038592005","https://openalex.org/W2052773587","https://openalex.org/W2053662510","https://openalex.org/W2054138491","https://openalex.org/W2057575345","https://openalex.org/W2064479571","https://openalex.org/W2064569322","https://openalex.org/W2077742132","https://openalex.org/W2078890775","https://openalex.org/W2085342383","https://openalex.org/W2088506714","https://openalex.org/W2092018021","https://openalex.org/W2092215774","https://openalex.org/W2093817710","https://openalex.org/W2097881034","https://openalex.org/W2102095939","https://openalex.org/W2103262698","https://openalex.org/W2104155220","https://openalex.org/W2105645228","https://openalex.org/W2107088244","https://openalex.org/W2110643462","https://openalex.org/W2111008143","https://openalex.org/W2112914440","https://openalex.org/W2114650511","https://openalex.org/W2117577638","https://openalex.org/W2118002644","https://openalex.org/W2121745948","https://openalex.org/W2124874375","https://openalex.org/W2125559549","https://openalex.org/W2125687067","https://openalex.org/W2125871170","https://openalex.org/W2128086029","https://openalex.org/W2133315577","https://openalex.org/W2138451630","https://openalex.org/W2154084645","https://openalex.org/W2155370190","https://openalex.org/W2159507917","https://openalex.org/W2161915348","https://openalex.org/W2163977799","https://openalex.org/W2166037956","https://openalex.org/W2170982948","https://openalex.org/W2175634093","https://openalex.org/W2176039828","https://openalex.org/W2176412098","https://openalex.org/W2177161849","https://openalex.org/W2177477561","https://openalex.org/W2178722824","https://openalex.org/W2180380740","https://openalex.org/W2180595293","https://openalex.org/W2279210827","https://openalex.org/W2483960056","https://openalex.org/W2916049455","https://openalex.org/W2917321299","https://openalex.org/W4211125169"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2118002644","https://openalex.org/W2589559260","https://openalex.org/W4322210830","https://openalex.org/W3090551613","https://openalex.org/W3101142440","https://openalex.org/W4321352419","https://openalex.org/W2088506714","https://openalex.org/W1982592840","https://openalex.org/W2345750031","https://openalex.org/W2892692229"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,51],"variability":[1],"and":[2,45,71,93,142,165,190,204],"predictability":[3],"of":[4,35,53,60,100,111,123,186,215,230,253],"tropical":[5,68,124,155,187,266],"storm":[6,69,125,156,174,188,245,267],"activity":[7],"in":[8,47,58,127,173,196,233],"the":[9,48,54,66,75,84,97,101,114,128,139,143,197,219,227,234,242,256,261,270],"Met":[10],"Office":[11],"fully":[12],"coupled":[13],"atmosphere\u2013ocean":[14],"Global":[15],"Seasonal":[16],"Forecast":[17],"System":[18],"5":[19],"(GloSea5)":[20],"is":[21,24,56,117,150,210,223],"assessed.":[22],"GloSea5":[23,112,149,179],"a":[25,146],"high\u2010resolution":[26],"seasonal":[27,163,265],"forecast":[28],"system":[29,55,86],"with":[30,177],"an":[31],"atmospheric":[32,90],"horizontal":[33,91],"grid":[34],"0.83\u00b0":[36],"longitude":[37],"\u00d7":[38],"0.55\u00b0":[39],"latitude":[40],"(\u223c53":[41],"km":[42,89],"at":[43],"55\u00b0N)":[44],"0.25\u00b0":[46],"global":[49],"ocean.":[50],"performance":[52],"assessed":[57],"terms":[59],"its":[61,72],"ability":[62],"to":[63,74,83,120,152],"retrospectively":[64],"predict":[65],"observed":[67],"climatology":[70],"response":[73],"El":[76],"Ni\u00f1o\u2013Southern":[77],"Oscillation":[78],"(ENSO).":[79],"Results":[80,259],"are":[81],"compared":[82],"predecessor":[85],"GloSea4":[87],"(\u223c120":[88],"resolution)":[92],"observational":[94],"analyses":[95],"over":[96,145],"common":[98],"period":[99,115],"operational":[102,264],"hindcast":[103],"for":[104,113,184,213,251,263],"both":[105],"systems:":[106],"1996\u20132009.":[107],"A":[108],"supplementary":[109],"assessment":[110],"1992\u20132013":[116],"then":[118],"performed":[119],"evaluate":[121],"skill":[122,183,209,250],"predictions":[126,185,214,252],"Northern":[129],"Hemisphere":[130],"as":[131,133,159,168,170],"well":[132,169],"landfall":[134,216,239,254],"frequency":[135,217],"along":[136,218,255],"two":[137],"regions,":[138],"US":[140,257],"coast":[141],"Caribbean,":[144],"longer":[147],"period.":[148],"able":[151],"reproduce":[153],"key":[154],"characteristics,":[157],"such":[158],"their":[160],"geographical":[161],"distribution,":[162],"cycle":[164],"interannual":[166],"variability,":[167],"spatial":[171],"changes":[172],"track":[175],"density":[176],"ENSO.":[178],"shows":[180],"statistically":[181],"significant":[182,208],"numbers":[189],"accumulated":[191],"cyclone":[192],"energy":[193],"(ACE)":[194],"index":[195],"North":[198],"Atlantic,":[199],"western":[200],"Pacific,":[201],"Australian":[202],"region":[203],"South":[205],"Pacific.":[206],"Statistically":[207],"also":[211],"found":[212],"Caribbean":[220],"coastline.":[221],"Skill":[222],"similar":[224],"using":[225],"either":[226],"direct":[228],"counting":[229],"landfalling":[231],"storms":[232],"model,":[235],"or":[236],"by":[237],"inferring":[238],"rates":[240],"from":[241],"Atlantic":[243],"basin\u2010wide":[244],"count.":[246],"We":[247],"find":[248],"no":[249],"coast.":[258],"suggest":[260],"potential":[262],"forecasts":[268],"throughout":[269],"Tropics.":[271]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":12},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":17},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":12},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":12},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":5}],"updated_date":"2026-11-07T11:25:07.637180","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}