{"id":"https://openalex.org/W1596468205","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-7908-1792-8_10","title":"Theories of Uncertainty: Explaining the Possible Sources of Error in Inferences","display_name":"Theories of Uncertainty: Explaining the Possible Sources of Error in Inferences","publication_year":2002,"publication_date":"2002-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W1596468205","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-7908-1792-8_10","mag":"1596468205"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-7908-1792-8_10","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-7908-1792-8_10","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-7908-1792-8_10","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210229206","display_name":"Studies in fuzziness and soft computing","issn_l":"1434-9922","issn":["1434-9922","1860-0808"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","norway-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319965","host_organization_name":"Springer Nature","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Nature"],"type":"book series"},"license":"public-domain","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/public-domain","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing","raw_type":"book-chapter"},"volume":{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2341133181","display_name":"The Dynamics of Judicial Proof"},"type":"book-chapter","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5108747973","display_name":"Vern R. Walker","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0004-7276-2626","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0009-0004-7276-2626"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I139290212","display_name":"Hofstra University","ror":"https://ror.org/03pm18j10","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I139290212"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Vern R. Walker","raw_affiliation_strings":["Hofstra University"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Hofstra University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I139290212"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5108747973"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I139290212"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":4.6234,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":16,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.93552197,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"197","last_page":"236"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14115","display_name":"Legal processes and jurisprudence","score":0.9872999787330627,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3308","display_name":"Law"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14115","display_name":"Legal processes and jurisprudence","score":0.9872999787330627,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3308","display_name":"Law"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11477","display_name":"Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics","score":0.002099999925121665,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1211","display_name":"Philosophy"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/12","display_name":"Arts and Humanities"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13583","display_name":"Jury Decision Making Processes","score":0.0010999999940395355,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3308","display_name":"Law"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/uncertainty","display_name":"uncertainty","score":0.4050000011920929},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/inference","display_name":"inference","score":0.4359999895095825},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/incomplete-evidence","display_name":"incomplete evidence","score":0.7110000252723694},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/scientific-knowledge","display_name":"scientific knowledge","score":0.3449999988079071},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/junk-science","display_name":"junk science","score":0.8840000033378601},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/daubert-standard","display_name":"Daubert standard","score":0.8740000128746033},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/federal-rule-of-evidence-702","display_name":"Federal Rule of Evidence 702","score":0.9419999718666077},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/dna-identification","display_name":"DNA identification","score":0.9259999990463257}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39920170","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q693083","display_name":"Soundness","level":2,"score":0.825742244720459},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776214188","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q408386","display_name":"Inference","level":2,"score":0.7572683095932007},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780767217","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5532421","display_name":"Generality","level":2,"score":0.5918561220169067},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776916960","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q637156","display_name":"Warrant","level":2,"score":0.5354639887809753},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162376815","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2158281","display_name":"Frequentist inference","level":4,"score":0.5150008201599121},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780451532","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q759676","display_name":"Task (project management)","level":2,"score":0.4956713914871216},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C116834253","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2039217","display_name":"Identification (biology)","level":2,"score":0.49164825677871704},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3746660","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1068763","display_name":"Rule of inference","level":2,"score":0.4388023316860199},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.40457406640052795},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.375559538602829},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.28664445877075195},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C160234255","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812535","display_name":"Bayesian inference","level":3,"score":0.2769261598587036},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.21371114253997803},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107673813","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812534","display_name":"Bayesian probability","level":2,"score":0.15599197149276733},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.11270701885223389},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.08539971709251404},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C106159729","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2294553","display_name":"Financial economics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C59822182","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q441","display_name":"Botany","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C542102704","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q183257","display_name":"Psychotherapist","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187736073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2920921","display_name":"Management","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1007/978-3-7908-1792-8_10","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-7908-1792-8_10","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-7908-1792-8_10","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210229206","display_name":"Studies in fuzziness and soft computing","issn_l":"1434-9922","issn":["1434-9922","1860-0808"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core","norway-1"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319965","host_organization_name":"Springer Nature","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Nature"],"type":"book series"},"license":"public-domain","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/public-domain","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing","raw_type":"book-chapter"},{"id":"pmh:oai:larc.cardozo.yu.edu:clr-2747","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://larc.cardozo.yu.edu/clr/vol22/iss5/10","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407064349","display_name":"bepress Legal Repository","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Cardozo Law Review","raw_type":"text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:scholarlycommons.law.hofstra.edu:faculty_scholarship-1104","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://scholarlycommons.law.hofstra.edu/faculty_scholarship/166","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407064349","display_name":"bepress Legal Repository","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Hofstra Law Faculty Scholarship","raw_type":"text"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":20,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W16738109","https://openalex.org/W374441380","https://openalex.org/W1578950577","https://openalex.org/W2036221810","https://openalex.org/W2069045901","https://openalex.org/W2081680314","https://openalex.org/W2090281644","https://openalex.org/W2138855144","https://openalex.org/W2148613459","https://openalex.org/W2478129654","https://openalex.org/W2544626028","https://openalex.org/W2795537963","https://openalex.org/W2797977583","https://openalex.org/W2802964820","https://openalex.org/W2913356905","https://openalex.org/W3143221605","https://openalex.org/W4205771262","https://openalex.org/W4249993677","https://openalex.org/W4253073923","https://openalex.org/W4300987477"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2261292074","https://openalex.org/W7137856062","https://openalex.org/W4253038813","https://openalex.org/W4409172162","https://openalex.org/W2995904572","https://openalex.org/W3213141894","https://openalex.org/W658805700","https://openalex.org/W4388058632","https://openalex.org/W2036876473","https://openalex.org/W4312320219"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"A":[0],"central":[1],"task":[2,27],"in":[3,87,124,144,198,229],"legal":[4],"factfinding":[5,122],"is":[6,28,33,40,48,76,112,253],"evaluating":[7,113,194],"the":[8,14,20,38,43,46,97,119,148,188,191,195,249,256,262],"warrant":[9],"for":[10,66,85,223],"a":[11,24,199],"finding":[12],"or":[13,164],"soundness":[15,44],"of":[16,45,51,63,69,93,121,173,190,207,227],"an":[17],"inference":[18,47,175,228],"from":[19,80,159],"evidentiary":[21],"propositions":[22],"to":[23,53,130],"conclusion.":[25],"This":[26,251],"especially":[29],"difficult":[30,143],"when":[31],"there":[32],"much":[34],"at":[35,60],"stake,":[36],"but":[37],"evidence":[39,197],"incomplete":[41,237],"and":[42,65,246,255],"uncertain.":[49],"Analyses":[50],"how":[52],"improve":[54],"such":[55,131,146],"inferences":[56,114,141,158,165],"have":[57],"been":[58],"made":[59],"various":[61],"levels":[62],"generality,":[64],"different":[67],"types":[68,226],"evidence.":[70,238],"For":[71],"example,":[72],"one":[73],"general":[74,110,132,214],"problem":[75,111],"distinguishing":[77],"\u201cscientific":[78],"knowledge\u201d":[79],"\u201cjunk":[81],"science,\u201d":[82],"as":[83,147,205,261],"required":[84],"admissibility":[86],"judicial":[88],"proceedings":[89],"under":[90],"Federal":[91],"Rule":[92],"Evidence":[94],"702,":[95],"following":[96],"Daubert":[98],"v.":[99],"Merrell":[100],"Dow":[101],"Pharmaceuticals":[102],",":[103],"Inc":[104],".":[105],"1":[106],"decision.":[107],"2":[108],"Another":[109],"about":[115],"unique":[116],"historical":[117],"events,":[118],"kind":[120],"necessary":[123],"criminal":[125],"cases.":[126],"3":[127],"As":[128],"opposed":[129],"problems,":[133],"some":[134],"theorists":[135,185],"address":[136],"only":[137],"particular":[138,200],"areas":[139],"where":[140,231],"are":[142],"law,":[145],"\u201clost":[149],"chance\u201d":[150],"cases,":[151],"4":[152],"cases":[153],"involving":[154],"\u201cindeterminate":[155],"plaintiffs,\u201d":[156],"5":[157],"\u201cnaked":[160],"statistical":[161],"evidence,\u201d":[162],"6":[163],"based":[166],"on":[167],"DNA":[168],"identification.":[169],"7":[170],"Such":[171],"problems":[172],"correct":[174],"cannot":[176],"be":[177,203,211,234,259],"solved":[178],"purely":[179],"by":[180,193,236,244,248],"formal":[181],"logic,":[182],"nor":[183,215],"can":[184,210],"merely":[186],"duplicate":[187],"role":[189],"factfinder":[192],"specific":[196],"case.":[201],"To":[202],"useful":[204,221],"theories":[206],"inference,":[208],"accounts":[209],"neither":[212],"too":[213,216],"specific.":[217],"They":[218],"must":[219,233],"provide":[220],"models":[222],"handling":[224],"recurring":[225],"situations":[230],"findings":[232],"warranted":[235],"8":[239],"These":[240],"keywords":[241,257],"were":[242],"added":[243],"machine":[245],"not":[247],"authors.":[250],"process":[252],"experimental":[254],"may":[258],"updated":[260],"learning":[263],"algorithm":[264],"improves.":[265]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-10-27T15:51:10.671819","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}