{"id":"https://openalex.org/W1520054033","doi":null,"title":"Curva de rendimientos y crecimiento de la producci\u00f3n real en la UEM: eficiencia y estabilidad predictiva./Yield Curve and Real Output Growth in the EMU: Efficiency and Predictive Stability","display_name":"Curva de rendimientos y crecimiento de la producci\u00f3n real en la UEM: eficiencia y estabilidad predictiva./Yield Curve and Real Output Growth in the EMU: Efficiency and Predictive Stability","publication_year":2004,"publication_date":"2004-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W1520054033","mag":"1520054033"},"language":"es","primary_location":{"id":"mag:1593014037","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:lrk:eeaart:22_1_8","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306509862","display_name":"Estudios de Economia Aplicada","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Estudios de Economia Aplicada","raw_type":null},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5113929908","display_name":"Agust\u00edn Duarte","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Agust\u00edn Duarte","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5091514925","display_name":"Ioannis A. Venetis","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6252-5353","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6252-5353"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ioannis A. Venetis","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6252-5353","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5051946434","display_name":"Iv\u00e1n Pay\u00e1","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2857-057X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2857-057X"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Iv\u00e1n Pay\u00e1","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":2,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":93},"biblio":{"volume":"22","issue":"1","first_page":"1","last_page":"21"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9413999915122986,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9413999915122986,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10047","display_name":"Financial Markets and Investment Strategies","score":0.02319999970495701,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2003","display_name":"Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13399","display_name":"Unemployment and Economic Growth","score":0.008100000210106373,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/yield-curve","display_name":"yield curve","score":0.9890000224113464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/real-output-growth","display_name":"real output growth","score":0.9539999961853027},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economic-and-monetary-union","display_name":"European Monetary Union","score":0.7480000257492065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/euro-area","display_name":"euro area","score":0.6140000224113464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economic-forecasting","display_name":"economic forecasting","score":0.5649999976158142},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/structural-breaks","display_name":"structural breaks","score":0.5009999871253967},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/predictive-stability","display_name":"predictive stability","score":0.6159999966621399},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/leading-indicators","display_name":"leading indicators","score":0.4000000059604645},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/term-structure-of-interest-rates","display_name":"term structure of interest rates","score":0.6489999890327454}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15708023","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q80083","display_name":"Humanities","level":1,"score":0.49776697158813477},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.4177253842353821},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.24987724423408508}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"mag:1593014037","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:lrk:eeaart:22_1_8","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306509862","display_name":"Estudios de Economia Aplicada","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Estudios de Economia Aplicada","raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:oai:redalyc.org:30122109","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=30122109","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196100","display_name":"Redalyc (Universidad Aut\u00f3noma del Estado de M\u00e9xico)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I179647637","host_organization_name":"Universidad Aut\u00f3noma del Estado de M\u00e9xico","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I179647637"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Estudios de Econom\u00eda Aplicada (Espa\u00f1a) Num.1 Vol.22","raw_type":"art\u00edculo cient\u00edfico"},{"id":"mag:1520054033","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.redalyc.org/pdf/301/30122109.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210209765","display_name":"Studies of Applied Economics","issn_l":"1133-3197","issn":["1133-3197","1697-5731"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["anvur-scientific","cwts-core","latindex","poland-20"],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310321140","host_organization_name":"University of Almer\u00eda","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310321140"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["University of Almer\u00eda"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Studies of Applied Economics","raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Decent work and economic growth","score":0.6452000141143799,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/8"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":34,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1566384689","https://openalex.org/W1647206114","https://openalex.org/W1965256988","https://openalex.org/W1966823661","https://openalex.org/W2008591268","https://openalex.org/W2011913656","https://openalex.org/W2023279052","https://openalex.org/W2029317597","https://openalex.org/W2031882280","https://openalex.org/W2037883917","https://openalex.org/W2048530554","https://openalex.org/W2060386718","https://openalex.org/W2070720254","https://openalex.org/W2076362494","https://openalex.org/W2079029063","https://openalex.org/W2079314989","https://openalex.org/W2088493289","https://openalex.org/W2095771524","https://openalex.org/W2111034925","https://openalex.org/W2120479790","https://openalex.org/W2121490355","https://openalex.org/W2128906928","https://openalex.org/W2136241359","https://openalex.org/W2144452471","https://openalex.org/W2152717893","https://openalex.org/W2157709066","https://openalex.org/W2270864342","https://openalex.org/W2992573040","https://openalex.org/W3023906401","https://openalex.org/W3123457644","https://openalex.org/W3123730532","https://openalex.org/W3124894581","https://openalex.org/W3125362734","https://openalex.org/W3125696988"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W6990257179","https://openalex.org/W1593014037","https://openalex.org/W1522730082","https://openalex.org/W3124398784","https://openalex.org/W7095365415","https://openalex.org/W69171806","https://openalex.org/W2062546727","https://openalex.org/W205493164","https://openalex.org/W2443134515","https://openalex.org/W7062463996"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"\"El":[0],"presente":[1],"trabajo":[2,75],"tiene":[3],"por":[4],"objeto":[5],"investigar":[6],"la":[7,10,33,45,55,57,84,94,108,112,138,158,169],"eficiencia":[8],"de":[9,12,35,44,59,83,96,121,131,140,151,157,163,171],"curva":[11,34,58,95,150],"rendimientos":[13,36,60,97],"para":[14,80,104],"predecirla":[15],"actividad":[16,46],"econ\u00f3mica":[17],"real":[18,110,156],"en":[19,111,119,135],"el":[20,62,81,87,106,154],"\u00e1rea":[21],"del":[22,72,146,174],"Euro.":[23],"Durante":[24],"los":[25,166,179,189],"\u00faltimos":[26],"veinte":[27],"a\u00f1os,":[28],"diversos":[29],"estudios":[30,50],"handemostrado":[31],"que":[32,54,93,178,188],"es":[37,98],"un":[38,99,141,161],"indicador":[39,100],"adelantado,":[40],"estad\u00edsticamente":[41],"significativo,":[42],"delfuturo":[43],"econ\u00f3mica.":[47],"Sin":[48],"embargo,":[49],"recientes":[51],"han":[52],"documentado,":[53],"relaci\u00f3nentre":[56],"y":[61,102,123,165,186],"crecimiento":[63,155],"econ\u00f3mico":[64],"puede":[65],"no":[66,125],"ser":[67],"estable":[68,103],"a":[69,144],"lo":[70],"largo":[71],"tiempo.":[73],"Eneste":[74],"se":[76],"utilizan":[77],"datos":[78],"agregados":[79],"conjunto":[82],"UEM,":[85],"durante":[86],"per\u00edodo":[88,175],"1970:1":[89],"\u0096":[90],"2000:4,y":[91],"demuestra":[92],"eficiente":[101],"predecir":[105],"crecimientode":[107],"producci\u00f3n":[109,159],"UEM.":[113],"La":[114,149],"metodolog\u00eda":[115],"econom\u00e9trica":[116],"empleada":[117],"consiste":[118],"modelos":[120,124,180,190],"regresi\u00f3nlineal":[122],"lineales":[126],"con":[127,160],"umbral.":[128],"Los":[129],"contrastes":[130],"estabilidad":[132],"utilizados":[133],"sugieren,":[134],"elmodelo":[136],"lineal,":[137],"existencia":[139],"cambio":[142],"estructural":[143],"finales":[145],"a\u00f1o":[147,162],"1992.":[148],"rendimientospredice":[152],"linealmente":[153],"anticipaci\u00f3n,":[164],"contrastesestad\u00edsticos":[167],"sobre":[168],"capacidad":[170],"predicci\u00f3n":[172],"fuera":[173],"muestral,":[176],"sugieren":[177],"nolineales":[181],"son":[182],"m\u00e1s":[183],"eficientes,":[184],"precisos,":[185],"estables":[187],"lineales.\"":[191]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-08T12:12:28.789561","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
