{"id":"https://openalex.org/W1511368807","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470282052.ch1","title":"An Introduction to Probability","display_name":"An Introduction to Probability","publication_year":2008,"publication_date":"2008-04-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W1511368807","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470282052.ch1","mag":"1511368807"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1002/9780470282052.ch1","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470282052.ch1","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470282052.ch1","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306464293","display_name":"Wiley eBooks","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"ebook platform"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Probably Not","raw_type":"other"},"parent_works":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4252880125","display_name":"Probably Not: Future Prediction Using Probability and Statistical Inference","relationship":"volume"}],"lineage":["https://openalex.org/W1511368807","https://openalex.org/W4252880125"],"child_works_count":0,"type":"book-chapter","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5109555151","display_name":"Lawrence N. Dworsky","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Lawrence N. Dworsky","raw_affiliation_strings":["Phoenix, AZ, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Phoenix, AZ, USA","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5109555151"],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":116.8026,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":615,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.99933841,"is_in_top_1_percent":true,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":99,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"1","last_page":"26"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13500","display_name":"Probability and Statistical Research","score":0.9922000169754028,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2613","display_name":"Statistics and Probability"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13500","display_name":"Probability and Statistical Research","score":0.9922000169754028,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2613","display_name":"Statistics and Probability"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11875","display_name":"Statistics Education and Methodologies","score":0.003599999938160181,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2613","display_name":"Statistics and Probability"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14460","display_name":"Literary, Cultural, Historical Analysis","score":0.0024999999441206455,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1211","display_name":"Philosophy"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/12","display_name":"Arts and Humanities"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probability","display_name":"probability","score":0.9850000143051147},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/random-events","display_name":"random events","score":0.6769999861717224},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/prediction","display_name":"prediction","score":0.675000011920929},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/lotteries","display_name":"lotteries","score":0.4779999852180481},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/coin-flipping","display_name":"coin flipping","score":0.9819999933242798},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fair-games","display_name":"fair games","score":0.9660000205039978},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/monty-hall-problem","display_name":"Monty Hall problem","score":0.9100000262260437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/checkerboard","display_name":"checkerboard","score":0.6779999732971191},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/rulemaking","display_name":"rulemaking","score":0.5080000162124634}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777340749","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6684955","display_name":"Lottery","level":2,"score":0.7614881992340088},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C97399411","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q825367","display_name":"Coin flipping","level":2,"score":0.5491847395896912},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C177264268","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1514741","display_name":"Set (abstract data type)","level":2,"score":0.4951588213443756},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.489151269197464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144237770","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q747534","display_name":"Mathematical economics","level":1,"score":0.3412143588066101},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.2790924310684204},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.16556724905967712},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.06056436896324158}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1002/9780470282052.ch1","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470282052.ch1","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470282052.ch1","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306464293","display_name":"Wiley eBooks","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320595","host_organization_name":"Wiley","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320595"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Wiley"],"type":"ebook platform"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Probably Not","raw_type":"other"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4416942412","https://openalex.org/W6885013087","https://openalex.org/W2986007449","https://openalex.org/W3199665775","https://openalex.org/W4388316693","https://openalex.org/W6986554533","https://openalex.org/W4388297620","https://openalex.org/W3023598948","https://openalex.org/W4244325619","https://openalex.org/W2042681824"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0],"chapter":[1],"contains":[2],"sections":[3],"titled:":[4],"Predicting":[5],"the":[6,41,55],"Future":[7],"Rule":[8],"Making":[9],"Random":[10],"Events":[11,18],"and":[12,19],"Probability":[13],"The":[14,31,38,48],"Lottery":[15],"{Very":[16],"Improbable":[17],"Large":[20],"Data":[21,56],"Sets}":[22],"Coin":[23,32],"Flipping":[24],"{Fair":[25],"Games,":[26],"Looking":[27],"Backwards":[28,44],"for":[29,45],"Insight}":[30],"Flip":[33],"Strategy":[34],"that":[35],"Can't":[36],"Lose":[37],"Prize":[39],"Behind":[40],"Door":[42],"{Looking":[43],"Insight,":[46],"Again}":[47],"Checkerboard":[49],"{Dealing":[50],"with":[51],"Only":[52],"Part":[53],"of":[54],"Set}":[57]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":19},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":24},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":26},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":23},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":33},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":33},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":34},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":29},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":30},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":30},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":47},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":50},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":39},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":40}],"updated_date":"2026-11-14T11:04:58.165337","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}