{"id":"https://openalex.org/W1502762408","doi":null,"title":"Review of methods for developing probabilistic risk assessments","display_name":"Review of methods for developing probabilistic risk assessments","publication_year":2010,"publication_date":"2010-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W1502762408","mag":"1502762408"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"mag:1502762408","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/pubs/gtr802/Vol2/pnw_gtr802vol2_weinstein.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null},"volume":null,"type":"article","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5058451474","display_name":"David A. Weinstein","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1341-9367","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1341-9367","https://orcid.org/0009-0000-4788-4761"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"David A. Weinstein","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1341-9367","affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5071983666","display_name":"Peter B. Woodbury","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3954-7639","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3954-7639"]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Peter B. Woodbury","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3954-7639","affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":6,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.0,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":88,"max":94},"biblio":{"volume":"802","issue":null,"first_page":"285","last_page":"302"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10555","display_name":"Fire effects on ecosystems","score":0.9965999722480774,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10555","display_name":"Fire effects on ecosystems","score":0.9965999722480774,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13388","display_name":"Rangeland and Wildlife Management","score":0.0012000000569969416,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2303","display_name":"Ecology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11753","display_name":"Forest Management and Policy","score":0.0006000000284984708,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1107","display_name":"Forestry"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fire-risk-assessment","display_name":"fire risk assessment","score":0.8799999952316284},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fire-occurrence-prediction","display_name":"fire occurrence prediction","score":0.7329999804496765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/landfire","display_name":"LANDFIRE","score":0.8240000009536743},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/vegetation-change","display_name":"vegetation change","score":0.4449999928474426},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-change","display_name":"climate change","score":0.7950000166893005},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fire-frequency","display_name":"fire frequency","score":0.4869999885559082},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fire-effects","display_name":"fire effects","score":0.4620000123977661},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/prescribed-burning","display_name":"prescribed burning","score":0.8489999771118164},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/forest-fires","display_name":"forest fires","score":0.9139999747276306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/urbanization","display_name":"urbanization","score":0.7179999947547913},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/site-productivity","display_name":"site productivity","score":0.4620000123977661},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/smoke-production","display_name":"smoke production","score":0.5559999942779541},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/soil-heating","display_name":"soil heating","score":0.8500000238418579}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776133958","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7918366","display_name":"Vegetation (pathology)","level":2,"score":0.7103826999664307},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C89736061","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5451644","display_name":"Fire regime","level":3,"score":0.6099122166633606},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.5478090047836304},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132651083","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Climate change","level":2,"score":0.5464805364608765},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2993091396","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q48796733","display_name":"Fire history","level":3,"score":0.4928176701068878},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49937458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2599292","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","level":2,"score":0.4731612801551819},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107826830","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q929380","display_name":"Environmental resource management","level":1,"score":0.4544260501861572},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114289077","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3284399","display_name":"Statistical model","level":2,"score":0.449971079826355},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12174686","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1058438","display_name":"Risk assessment","level":2,"score":0.43986013531684875},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C195330766","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1409472","display_name":"Fire ecology","level":3,"score":0.4328330159187317},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112930515","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4389547","display_name":"Risk analysis (engineering)","level":1,"score":0.3484647870063782},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.24441498517990112},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.21978607773780823},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C110872660","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37813","display_name":"Ecosystem","level":2,"score":0.16159677505493164},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.07376819849014282},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C38652104","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3510521","display_name":"Computer security","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142724271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7208","display_name":"Pathology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"mag:1502762408","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/pubs/gtr802/Vol2/pnw_gtr802vol2_weinstein.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null},{"id":"mag:2244152771","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/pubs/gtr802/Vol2/pnw_gtr802vol2_weinstein.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764567293","display_name":"General Technical Report, Pacific Northwest Research Station, USDA Forest Service","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"listed_in":["cwts-core"],"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"General Technical Report, Pacific Northwest Research Station, USDA Forest Service","raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.821399986743927,"display_name":"Climate action","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13"},{"score":0.4390000104904175,"display_name":"Life on land","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/15"}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":39,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W46074210","https://openalex.org/W1605323303","https://openalex.org/W1606539395","https://openalex.org/W1967416808","https://openalex.org/W1969133551","https://openalex.org/W1987421425","https://openalex.org/W1993939797","https://openalex.org/W2011736548","https://openalex.org/W2021343987","https://openalex.org/W2021537802","https://openalex.org/W2022934840","https://openalex.org/W2033130094","https://openalex.org/W2033481223","https://openalex.org/W2039507572","https://openalex.org/W2068320240","https://openalex.org/W2071066314","https://openalex.org/W2084664115","https://openalex.org/W2094256919","https://openalex.org/W2103475795","https://openalex.org/W2109267829","https://openalex.org/W2112426461","https://openalex.org/W2120364425","https://openalex.org/W2120745888","https://openalex.org/W2132191918","https://openalex.org/W2135735088","https://openalex.org/W2140833328","https://openalex.org/W2144819008","https://openalex.org/W2158996443","https://openalex.org/W2159582621","https://openalex.org/W2165717170","https://openalex.org/W2176478590","https://openalex.org/W2180426220","https://openalex.org/W2333547113","https://openalex.org/W2338546043","https://openalex.org/W2503988816","https://openalex.org/W2804210914","https://openalex.org/W2953745030","https://openalex.org/W2969566328","https://openalex.org/W3028464342"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2244152771","https://openalex.org/W2736329938","https://openalex.org/W1988955207","https://openalex.org/W1605323303","https://openalex.org/W3204769148","https://openalex.org/W4415436880","https://openalex.org/W2374078135","https://openalex.org/W4313005838","https://openalex.org/W2020700353","https://openalex.org/W1532608316"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"We":[0,18,190],"describe":[1,19],"methodologies":[2],"currently":[3],"in":[4,60,200,208,220,301,314,342,352],"use":[5,122],"or":[6,283],"those":[7,28,56,291,359],"under":[8,32,81],"development":[9],"containing":[10],"features":[11],"for":[12,78,112],"estimating":[13],"fire":[14,24,31,45,61,80,89,102,127,165,188,209,221,234,282],"occurrence":[15,235,251],"risk":[16,25,62,166,252,262,362],"assessment.":[17],"two":[20],"major":[21,377],"categories":[22],"of":[23,73,152,194,233,241,245,263,266,293,317,330,348,358,375],"assessment":[26],"tools:":[27],"that":[29,36,57,87,121,173,259,269,338,369],"predict":[30,88,126,174,270],"current":[33,82],"conditions,":[34],"assuming":[35],"vegetation,":[37],"climate,":[38],"and":[39,44,55,65,95,100,202,276,307,324,328,346,350],"the":[40,153,160,175,203,224,238,261,264,315,344,356,373],"interactions":[41,335],"between":[42],"them":[43],"remain":[46,134],"relatively":[47,135],"similar":[48],"to":[49,116,125,133,168,197,214,217,254,366],"their":[50],"condition":[51],"during":[52],"recent":[53],"history,":[54],"anticipate":[58],"changes":[59,185,199,207,219,300],"as":[63,107,140,223,230,288,290,299,321],"climate":[64,225],"vegetation":[66,91,177,201],"communities":[67,178],"change":[68,180],"through":[69],"time.":[70],"Three":[71],"types":[72],"models":[74,86,120,147,172,192,228,258],"have":[75,109],"proven":[76],"useful":[77],"predicting":[79],"conditions:":[83],"(1)":[84],"biophysical":[85,114],"from":[90],"type,":[92],"fuel":[93,272],"load,":[94],"climate;":[96],"(2)":[97],"statistical":[98],"models;":[99],"(3)":[101],"behavior":[103,146],"models.":[104],"Programs":[105],"such":[106,229,298,320],"LANDFIRE":[108],"great":[110],"promise":[111],"using":[113,227],"properties":[115],"estimate":[117,372],"risk.":[118],"Statistical":[119],"historical":[123],"data":[124,142],"probabilities":[128],"if":[129],"landscape-fire":[130],"relationships":[131],"continue":[132],"unchanged,":[136],"are":[137,148,334],"gaining":[138],"interest":[139],"more":[141],"become":[143],"available.":[144],"Fire":[145,250,309],"producing":[149],"accurate":[150],"predictions":[151],"ways":[154,176],"individual":[155],"fires":[156],"will":[157,179,186],"move":[158],"across":[159],"landscape.":[161],"For":[162],"longer":[163],"periods,":[164],"needs":[167,253],"be":[169,215,255,286,311,367],"evaluated":[170],"by":[171,280],"over":[181],"time":[182],"because":[183],"these":[184],"alter":[187],"probabilities.":[189],"identified":[191],"capable":[193,292],"being":[195],"used":[196],"track":[198,218],"resulting":[204],"effect":[205],"on":[206],"frequency.":[210],"Risk":[211],"systems":[212,364],"need":[213,365],"designed":[216],"susceptibility":[222],"changes,":[226],"MAPSS.":[231],"Prediction":[232],"is":[236],"just":[237],"first":[239],"part":[240],"a":[242,340],"complete":[243],"analysis":[244],"risks":[246],"associated":[247],"with":[248,257],"fire.":[249,267],"combined":[256],"determine":[260],"effects":[265],"Models":[268],"mortality,":[271],"consumption,":[273],"smoke":[274],"production,":[275],"soil":[277],"heating":[278],"caused":[279],"prescribed":[281],"wildfire":[284],"should":[285],"used,":[287],"well":[289],"evaluating":[294],"second":[295],"order":[296],"effects,":[297],"site":[302],"productivity,":[303],"animal":[304],"use,":[305],"insects,":[306],"disease.":[308],"must":[310],"looked":[312],"at":[313],"context":[316],"other":[318,376],"stresses,":[319],"invasive":[322],"insects":[323],"pathogens,":[325],"encroaching":[326],"urbanization,":[327],"loss":[329],"critical":[331],"habitat.":[332],"There":[333],"among":[336],"stresses":[337,378],"play":[339],"role":[341],"affecting":[343],"frequency":[345],"intensity":[347],"fire,":[349,351],"turn,":[353],"can":[354,370],"affect":[355],"probability":[357,374],"stresses.":[360],"Consequently,":[361],"evaluation":[363],"created":[368],"simultaneously":[371],"influencing":[379],"ecosystem":[380],"development.":[381]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}