{"id":"https://openalex.org/W1501474354","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.708266","title":"Structural Econometric Models in Forecasting Inflation at the National Bank of Poland","display_name":"Structural Econometric Models in Forecasting Inflation at the National Bank of Poland","publication_year":2005,"publication_date":"2005-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W1501474354","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.708266","mag":"1501474354"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.2139/ssrn.708266","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.708266","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.708266","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"posted-content"},"volume":null,"type":"preprint","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.708266","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5029815987","display_name":"Bohdan K\u0142os","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I90656587","display_name":"National Bank of Poland","ror":"https://ror.org/00tystp70","country_code":"PL","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I90656587"]}],"countries":["PL"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bohdan Klos","raw_affiliation_strings":["National Bank of Poland, 00-919 Warsaw, Poland","National Bank of Poland"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"National Bank of Poland, 00-919 Warsaw, Poland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I90656587"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"National Bank of Poland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I90656587"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5059502431","display_name":"Ryszard Kokoszczy\u0144ski","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5423-8116","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5423-8116"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4654613","display_name":"University of Warsaw","ror":"https://ror.org/039bjqg32","country_code":"PL","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4654613"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I90656587","display_name":"National Bank of Poland","ror":"https://ror.org/00tystp70","country_code":"PL","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I90656587"]}],"countries":["PL"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Ryszard Kokoszczynski","raw_affiliation_strings":["National Bank of Poland, Warsaw, Poland","Warsaw University - Dept. of Economics, Warsaw, 00-241, Poland","National Bank of Poland","Warsaw University - Dept. of Economics"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"National Bank of Poland, Warsaw, Poland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I90656587"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Warsaw University - Dept. of Economics, Warsaw, 00-241, Poland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4654613"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"National Bank of Poland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I90656587"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Warsaw University - Dept. of Economics","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4654613"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5051810756","display_name":"Tomasz \u0141yziak","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0488-4259","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0488-4259"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I90656587","display_name":"National Bank of Poland","ror":"https://ror.org/00tystp70","country_code":"PL","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I90656587"]}],"countries":["PL"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Tomasz Lyziak","raw_affiliation_strings":["National Bank of Poland - Bureau of Macroeconomic Research, Warsaw, Poland","National Bank of Poland - Bureau of Macroeconomic Research"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"National Bank of Poland - Bureau of Macroeconomic Research, Warsaw, Poland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I90656587"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"National Bank of Poland - Bureau of Macroeconomic Research","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I90656587"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5084705044","display_name":"Jan Przystupa","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I90656587","display_name":"National Bank of Poland","ror":"https://ror.org/00tystp70","country_code":"PL","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I90656587"]}],"countries":["PL"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jan Przystupa","raw_affiliation_strings":["National Bank of Poland - Bureau of Macroeconomic Research, Swietokrzyska 11/21, 00-919 Warsaw, Poland","National Bank of Poland - Bureau of Macroeconomic Research"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"National Bank of Poland - Bureau of Macroeconomic Research, Swietokrzyska 11/21, 00-919 Warsaw, Poland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I90656587"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"National Bank of Poland - Bureau of Macroeconomic Research","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I90656587"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5021884918","display_name":"Ewa Wr\u00f3bel","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7546-3064","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7546-3064"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I90656587","display_name":"National Bank of Poland","ror":"https://ror.org/00tystp70","country_code":"PL","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I90656587"]}],"countries":["PL"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ewa Wrobel","raw_affiliation_strings":["National Bank of Poland - Bureau of Macroeconomic Research, Swietokrzyska 11/21, Warsaw, Poland","National Bank of Poland - Bureau of Macroeconomic Research"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"National Bank of Poland - Bureau of Macroeconomic Research, Swietokrzyska 11/21, Warsaw, Poland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I90656587"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"National Bank of Poland - Bureau of Macroeconomic Research","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I90656587"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5059502431"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4654613","https://openalex.org/I90656587"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":9,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10007","display_name":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2000","display_name":"General Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.0005000000237487257,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12137","display_name":"Economic theories and models","score":0.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/inflation-forecasting","display_name":"inflation forecasting","score":0.9549999833106995},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/structural-macroeconometric-model","display_name":"structural macroeconometric model","score":0.9769999980926514},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/new-keynesian-phillips-curve","display_name":"New Keynesian Phillips curve","score":0.9620000123977661},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/is-curve","display_name":"IS curve","score":0.9710000157356262},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/uncovered-interest-parity","display_name":"uncovered interest parity","score":0.9359999895095825},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/foreign-exchange-risk","display_name":"exchange rate risk","score":0.6060000061988831},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/supply-side-inflation","display_name":"supply-side inflation","score":0.6919999718666077},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/national-bank-of-poland","display_name":"National Bank of Poland","score":0.7799999713897705},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/central-bank-forecasting","display_name":"central bank forecasting","score":0.6060000061988831}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.7752230167388916},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778774626","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q220841","display_name":"Phillips curve","level":3,"score":0.7276336550712585},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C200941418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q273508","display_name":"Inflation (cosmology)","level":2,"score":0.6915815472602844},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10688316","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q936174","display_name":"New Keynesian economics","level":3,"score":0.6231338977813721},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C180075932","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5333342","display_name":"Econometric model","level":2,"score":0.6086120009422302},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.5864270925521851},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776988154","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q66100","display_name":"Exchange rate","level":2,"score":0.5522192716598511},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175025494","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q179179","display_name":"Interest rate","level":2,"score":0.5048399567604065},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C82843974","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q205231","display_name":"Interest rate parity","level":3,"score":0.44851237535476685},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779467348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6579042","display_name":"National bank","level":2,"score":0.445919007062912},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.42780521512031555},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C126285488","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q178476","display_name":"Monetary policy","level":2,"score":0.38875988125801086},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C165556158","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q83937","display_name":"Keynesian economics","level":1,"score":0.36549317836761475},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33332235","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q18362","display_name":"Theoretical physics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.2139/ssrn.708266","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.708266","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.708266","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"posted-content"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:nbp:nbpmis:31","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://static.nbp.pl/publikacje/materialy-i-studia/31_en.pdf","pdf_url":"https://static.nbp.pl/publikacje/materialy-i-studia/31_en.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"preprint"},{"id":"mag:3125002838","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nbp:nbpmis:31","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.2139/ssrn.708266","doi":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.708266","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.708266","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210172589","display_name":"SSRN Electronic Journal","issn_l":"1556-5068","issn":["1556-5068"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1318003438","host_organization_name":"RELX Group (Netherlands)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1318003438"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"posted-content"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":63,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1481105534","https://openalex.org/W1482401614","https://openalex.org/W1492497578","https://openalex.org/W1501225381","https://openalex.org/W1522869396","https://openalex.org/W1547813615","https://openalex.org/W1547845881","https://openalex.org/W1564595839","https://openalex.org/W1574614721","https://openalex.org/W1578815788","https://openalex.org/W1585441176","https://openalex.org/W1591591068","https://openalex.org/W1622077942","https://openalex.org/W1897822561","https://openalex.org/W1965561045","https://openalex.org/W1966933362","https://openalex.org/W1978913217","https://openalex.org/W1979966628","https://openalex.org/W1986342355","https://openalex.org/W1986766616","https://openalex.org/W1988822453","https://openalex.org/W1992610690","https://openalex.org/W1992778539","https://openalex.org/W2006344690","https://openalex.org/W2020377822","https://openalex.org/W2027126437","https://openalex.org/W2030014826","https://openalex.org/W2048873854","https://openalex.org/W2053409600","https://openalex.org/W2058083262","https://openalex.org/W2060022738","https://openalex.org/W2061755216","https://openalex.org/W2064892444","https://openalex.org/W2081217212","https://openalex.org/W2084328989","https://openalex.org/W2137873201","https://openalex.org/W2144395073","https://openalex.org/W2156718885","https://openalex.org/W2163122901","https://openalex.org/W2169727909","https://openalex.org/W2171440378","https://openalex.org/W2189139855","https://openalex.org/W2477961281","https://openalex.org/W2490719467","https://openalex.org/W2587821215","https://openalex.org/W2753199792","https://openalex.org/W2903751454","https://openalex.org/W2906883195","https://openalex.org/W3022505930","https://openalex.org/W3121143884","https://openalex.org/W3121588879","https://openalex.org/W3121845133","https://openalex.org/W3123139604","https://openalex.org/W3124097536","https://openalex.org/W3124757963","https://openalex.org/W3124867293","https://openalex.org/W3129166481","https://openalex.org/W4210553442","https://openalex.org/W4236955727","https://openalex.org/W4254386563","https://openalex.org/W4285719527","https://openalex.org/W6981297221","https://openalex.org/W7005064380"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2183594929","https://openalex.org/W1592306379","https://openalex.org/W2322382232","https://openalex.org/W1830402779","https://openalex.org/W7111519471","https://openalex.org/W2398029365","https://openalex.org/W2557897819","https://openalex.org/W907760410","https://openalex.org/W2084871122","https://openalex.org/W7117644737"],"abstract_inverted_index":null,"counts_by_year":[{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-11-04T10:54:05.112534","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
