{"id":"https://openalex.org/W1497250829","doi":null,"title":"When Smaller Families Look Contagious: A Spatial Look At The French Fertility Decline Using An Agent-Based Simulation Model","display_name":"When Smaller Families Look Contagious: A Spatial Look At The French Fertility Decline Using An Agent-Based Simulation Model","publication_year":2008,"publication_date":"2008-09-02","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W1497250829","mag":"1497250829"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:nuf:esohwp:_071","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/materials/papers/3457/71murphy.pdf","pdf_url":"http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/materials/papers/3457/71murphy.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"preprint"},"volume":null,"type":"preprint","is_traditional":true,"indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5064437896","display_name":"Sandra Gonz\u00e1lez\u2010Bail\u00f3n","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8372-798X","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8372-798X"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I40120149","display_name":"University of Oxford","ror":"https://ror.org/052gg0110","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Sandra Gonz\u00e1lez\u2010Bail\u00f3n","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Oxford"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Oxford","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5112549868","display_name":"Tommy E. Murphy","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9687-8998","observed_orcids":["https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9687-8998"]},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I71209653","display_name":"Bocconi University","ror":"https://ror.org/05crjpb27","country_code":"IT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I71209653"]}],"countries":["IT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Tommy E. Murphy","raw_affiliation_strings":["Bocconi University"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Bocconi University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I71209653"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":9,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10585","display_name":"Family Dynamics and Relationships","score":0.48660001158714294,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10585","display_name":"Family Dynamics and Relationships","score":0.48660001158714294,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14509","display_name":"demographic modeling and climate adaptation","score":0.1387999951839447,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3305","display_name":"Geography, Planning and Development"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13332","display_name":"Historical Studies on Reproduction, Gender, Health, and Societal Changes","score":0.09520000219345093,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1202","display_name":"History"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/12","display_name":"Arts and Humanities"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fertility-decline","display_name":"fertility decline","score":0.9819999933242798},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agent-based-modeling","display_name":"agent-based modeling","score":0.8790000081062317},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/network-topology","display_name":"network topology","score":0.7269999980926514},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/french-revolution","display_name":"French Revolution","score":0.6159999966621399},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/endogenous-and-exogenous-factors","display_name":"endogenous and exogenous factors","score":0.7400000095367432}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C518429986","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q964401","display_name":"Fertility","level":3,"score":0.7825853824615479},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780148112","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1432581","display_name":"Proxy (statistics)","level":2,"score":0.7140068411827087},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.6094982624053955},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.5165945291519165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C160776313","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1061151","display_name":"Massif","level":2,"score":0.4937463700771332},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C26271046","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q187097","display_name":"Economic geography","level":1,"score":0.44340530037879944},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.36747708916664124},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C53553401","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q47307","display_name":"Genealogy","level":1,"score":0.3562856912612915},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C95457728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q309","display_name":"History","level":0,"score":0.3418111801147461},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C58640448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q42515","display_name":"Cartography","level":1,"score":0.251258909702301},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.25029414892196655},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.09320682287216187},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:nuf:esohwp:_071","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/materials/papers/3457/71murphy.pdf","pdf_url":"http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/materials/papers/3457/71murphy.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"preprint"},{"id":"mag:1497250829","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/economics/History/Paper71/71murphy.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"listed_in":[],"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":41,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W113577369","https://openalex.org/W185853853","https://openalex.org/W1479771699","https://openalex.org/W1487984226","https://openalex.org/W1501219137","https://openalex.org/W1555422686","https://openalex.org/W1973291952","https://openalex.org/W1982293478","https://openalex.org/W1987143787","https://openalex.org/W1989452821","https://openalex.org/W1990119378","https://openalex.org/W1997484956","https://openalex.org/W2001048557","https://openalex.org/W2005719103","https://openalex.org/W2010887308","https://openalex.org/W2020216610","https://openalex.org/W2021005722","https://openalex.org/W2022575890","https://openalex.org/W2023283417","https://openalex.org/W2025322481","https://openalex.org/W2042823393","https://openalex.org/W2049266804","https://openalex.org/W2061435220","https://openalex.org/W2099441909","https://openalex.org/W2113121528","https://openalex.org/W2125620393","https://openalex.org/W2145611078","https://openalex.org/W2189117213","https://openalex.org/W2314413200","https://openalex.org/W2316124921","https://openalex.org/W2337896076","https://openalex.org/W2495023638","https://openalex.org/W2739361626","https://openalex.org/W2990384283","https://openalex.org/W3020948373","https://openalex.org/W3121565390","https://openalex.org/W3121649590","https://openalex.org/W3122098882","https://openalex.org/W3122672421","https://openalex.org/W3123604306","https://openalex.org/W3124942412"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W7096205809","https://openalex.org/W1534873151","https://openalex.org/W1966808359","https://openalex.org/W2029028361","https://openalex.org/W1123456815","https://openalex.org/W4229367574","https://openalex.org/W3121766167","https://openalex.org/W2472020856","https://openalex.org/W2460785990","https://openalex.org/W3193618749"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Despite":[0],"some":[1,176],"disagreements":[2],"about":[3],"specific":[4],"timing,":[5],"it":[6],"is":[7],"now":[8],"widely":[9],"accepted":[10],"that":[11,27,154],"France":[12],"was":[13,183],"the":[14,47,59,70,102,111,137,145,147,166,170,178],"first":[15],"European":[16],"country":[17],"to":[18,76,109,142,164],"experience":[19],"a":[20,25,31,78,155],"systematic":[21],"decline":[22,26],"in":[23,30,69,116,130,168],"fertility,":[24],"took":[28,172],"place":[29,173],"very":[32],"distinctive":[33],"geographical":[34],"pattern.":[35],"Whereas":[36],"two":[37,52],"areas":[38],"of":[39,54,81,104,113,140,150,157,177],"low":[40],"birth":[41],"rates":[42],"(the":[43],"Seine":[44],"valley":[45],"and":[46,58,98,106,125,160,174],"Aquitaine":[48],"region)":[49],"kept":[50],"spreading,":[51],"\u2018islands\u2019":[53],"high":[55],"fertility":[56,117],"(Bretagne":[57],"Massif":[60],"Central)":[61],"shrank":[62],"until":[63],"they":[64],"more":[65],"or":[66],"less":[67],"disappeared":[68],"early":[71],"1900s.":[72],"In":[73],"an":[74,86],"attempt":[75],"provide":[77],"sensible":[79],"explanation":[80],"this":[82,182],"pattern,":[83],"we":[84],"build":[85],"agent-based":[87],"simulation":[88],"model":[89],"which":[90,169,181],"incorporates":[91],"both":[92,158],"historical":[93],"data":[94,135],"on":[95,101,136],"population":[96],"characteristics":[97],"spatial":[99],"information":[100],"geography":[103],"France,":[105],"allows":[107],"us":[108],"study":[110],"role":[112],"social":[114],"influence":[115],"decisions.":[118],"We":[119],"assess":[120],"how":[121],"different":[122],"behavioural":[123],"assumptions":[124],"network":[126],"topologies":[127],"cause":[128],"variations":[129],"diffusion":[131,171],"patterns,":[132],"using":[133],"quantitative":[134],"Ecclesiastical":[138],"Oath":[139],"1791":[141],"proxy":[143],"for":[144],"impact":[146],"Revolution.":[148],"Analysis":[149],"several":[151],"simulations":[152],"shows":[153],"combination":[156],"endogenous":[159],"exogenous":[161],"factors":[162],"help":[163],"explain":[165],"way":[167],"suggests":[175],"mechanisms":[179],"through":[180],"materialised.":[184]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-09-29T14:09:16.559479","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
