{"id":"https://openalex.org/W1496776336","doi":null,"title":"From Tea Leaves to Opinion Polls: A Theory of Democratic Leadership","display_name":"From Tea Leaves to Opinion Polls: A Theory of Democratic Leadership","publication_year":1996,"publication_date":"1996-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W1496776336","mag":"1496776336"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"mag:1496776336","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://ci.nii.ac.jp/ncid/BA28872336","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null},"volume":null,"type":"book","indexed_in":[],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5016489114","display_name":"John G. Geer","orcid":null,"observed_orcids":[]},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"John G. Geer","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5016489114"],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":5.5287,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":188,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.95805908,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10108","display_name":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","score":0.48660001158714294,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10108","display_name":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","score":0.48660001158714294,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13459","display_name":"Public Administration and Political Analysis","score":0.3970000147819519,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13291","display_name":"Political Theory and Democracy","score":0.10109999775886536,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3320","display_name":"Political Science and International Relations"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/participative-leadership","display_name":"democratic leadership","score":0.8769999742507935},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/public-opinion","display_name":"public opinion","score":0.7900000214576721},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/public-opinion-survey","display_name":"public opinion survey","score":0.8949999809265137},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/politicians","display_name":"politicians","score":0.4480000138282776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/followership","display_name":"followership","score":0.699999988079071},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/representative-democracy","display_name":"representative democracy","score":0.7009999752044678},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/political-change","display_name":"political transition","score":0.5839999914169312},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/rational-actor-model","display_name":"rational actor model","score":0.7559999823570251},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/candidate-positioning","display_name":"candidate positioning","score":0.5189999938011169},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/political-information","display_name":"political information","score":0.3790000081062317}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134698397","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q17946","display_name":"Public opinion","level":3,"score":0.7548490166664124},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C555826173","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7174","display_name":"Democracy","level":3,"score":0.6278446912765503},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C94625758","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7163","display_name":"Politics","level":2,"score":0.6092991828918457},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.5940800905227661},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163258240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25342","display_name":"Power (physics)","level":2,"score":0.4827343821525574},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C56617239","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1092720","display_name":"Dissenting opinion","level":2,"score":0.47064846754074097},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139268390","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1850904","display_name":"Opinion leadership","level":2,"score":0.42036953568458557},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12713177","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1900281","display_name":"Perspective (graphical)","level":2,"score":0.4187101423740387},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39549134","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q133080","display_name":"Public relations","level":1,"score":0.4071289896965027},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.2940300703048706},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142362112","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q735","display_name":"Art","level":0,"score":0.09554359316825867},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153349607","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36649","display_name":"Visual arts","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"mag:1496776336","doi":null,"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://ci.nii.ac.jp/ncid/BA28872336","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16","display_name":"Peace, justice, and strong institutions","score":0.4399999976158142}],"study_designs":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W640298278","https://openalex.org/W592836315","https://openalex.org/W4317410120","https://openalex.org/W2787611075","https://openalex.org/W2137779989","https://openalex.org/W4240122147","https://openalex.org/W7203800930","https://openalex.org/W4231220447","https://openalex.org/W4251419535","https://openalex.org/W3189230100"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Do":[0],"politicians":[1,96,115],"lead":[2],"public":[3,25,108],"life":[4],"or":[5],"follow":[6],"it?":[7],"Does":[8],"the":[9,64,69,79,85,126,140],"nature":[10],"of":[11,66,71,81,142],"representative":[12],"democracy":[13],"dictate":[14],"that":[15,132],"those":[16,102],"in":[17,84],"power":[18],"respond":[19],"to":[20,29,39,44,61,122],"popular":[21],"sentiment?":[22],"And":[23],"if":[24],"opinion":[26,82,118],"is":[27,139],"central":[28],"political":[30,72,149],"action,":[31],"what":[32],"does":[33],"it":[34],"mean":[35],"for":[36],"a":[37,88,130],"politician":[38],"lead?":[40],"This":[41],"book":[42,111],"aims":[43],"answer":[45],"these":[46],"and":[47,53,68,124],"other":[48],"fundamental":[49],"questions":[50],"on":[51,107,153],"leadership":[52,150],"followership.":[54],"The":[55,110,137],"author":[56],"develops":[57],"an":[58],"explicit":[59],"theory":[60],"show":[62],"how":[63,94,113],"behaviour":[65],"politicians,":[67],"unfolding":[70],"change,":[73],"have":[74],"been":[75],"irrevocably":[76],"altered":[77],"since":[78],"advent":[80],"polling":[83],"1930s.":[86],"Employing":[87],"rational":[89],"actor":[90],"perspective,":[91],"he":[92],"explores":[93],"well-informed":[95,114],"behave":[97],"with":[98,117,148],"marked":[99],"differences":[100,145],"from":[101],"who":[103],"are":[104,120],"poorly":[105],"informed":[106],"opinion.":[109],"describes":[112],"armed":[116],"polls":[119],"able":[121],"isolate":[123],"marginalize":[125],"hot-button":[127],"issues,":[128],"locating":[129],"position":[131],"will":[133],"augment":[134],"their":[135],"support.":[136],"result":[138],"erasure":[141],"many":[143],"significant":[144],"between":[146],"candidates,":[147],"only":[151],"displayed":[152],"less":[154],"pressing":[155],"concerns.":[156]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":20},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":16},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":20},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":4}],"updated_date":"2026-11-03T10:50:19.383937","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}